Site icon Sports from the Basement

Keeneland Horse Racing Picks for Friday, April 17, 2026

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Olympic Star 4.50 1 2-1
3 3 Starwood 2.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 Howyoudosomething 6.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 Watershed Moment 8.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 She’s Gotta Go 15.00 4 8-1
7 7 Tiz Laws Hall 10.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Buckeye Bombshell 1.40 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Sutura 4.00 1 2-1
2 2 Horsing Around 2.00 1.8 3-1
1 1 Cat Island 8.00 4.2 8-1
8 8 Endless Glory 15.00 5 9-1
4 4 Smokin Hot Stuff 6.00 5 9-1
7 7 Maxi Maxi 10.00 6 11-1
3 3 Starship Godiva 3.00 7.8 15-1
6 6 Naukarezza 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Yes It Tiz 3.00 1 2-1
1 1 Table Flirt 8.00 2.1 4-1
3 3 Senza Parole 1.20 2.3 4-1
6 6 Cat’s Cave 4.50 3 6-1
2 2 Queen Azteca 3.50 3.1 6-1
4 4 Peak Popularity 20.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Noroomformischief 6.00 1 2-1
1 1 Mighty Nora 2.00 1.2 2-1
9 9 Debby’s Gal 12.00 2 4-1
4 4 Tiz a Princess 15.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Grace of Monaco 3.50 4 8-1
7 7 Weetamoo 6.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 Good Graces 8.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Lunar Loop 4.00 5.1 10-1
8 8 Donna Strada 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Murdock 3.00 1 2-1
10 10 Innate (IRE) 3.50 2.2 4-1
7 7 Pivotal Moment 4.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 Expressway 15.00 5.4 10-1
8 8 Jimmy Rules 8.00 5.7 11-1
4 4 Snare 12.00 5.8 11-1
1 1 Military Cruiser 20.00 6.1 11-1
6 6 Utopian 20.00 6.4 12-1
2 2 Ambitiously 8.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Longshoreman 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Little Ni 3.00 1 2-1
1 1 Durante 8.00 1.8 3-1
6 6 Illuminare 8.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 American Monarch 2.50 3.7 7-1
2 2 Bold Journey 1.60 4.9 9-1
5 5 Normandy Coast 6.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Next Up 1.20 1 2-1
3 3 Dozen Diamonds 6.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Thatsalrightmama 3.50 3.8 7-1
5 5 Scribble 12.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Latte Lizzie 10.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Mint Driven 30.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Surprenant Cocca 8.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Champagne Nights 20.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Cara Felce 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Double Talker 4.00 1 2-1
6 6 Strate Cash 8.00 2.9 6-1
5 5 Moon Sniper 20.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Atlal 4.50 3.8 7-1
10 10 Unitas 3.50 4.3 8-1
9 9 Uncle Bucky 20.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Razorcat 12.00 5.4 10-1
4 4 Frontier Justice 30.00 7.1 13-1
3 3 Beer Run 2.50 SCRATCH
8 8 Big Garry 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Baird Doubledogdare S.) – Baird Doubledogdare S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Alpine Princess 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 Gin Gin 2.00 1.9 4-1
6 6 Running Away 4.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Aye Candy 20.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Eunomia 4.50 4.5 9-1
7 7 Peignoir 10.00 5.3 10-1
5 5 Ourdaydreaminggirl 20.00 7.9 15-1
8 8 Chilled 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 She Wants War 2.50 1 2-1
7 7 Twirling Claire 4.50 2.8 5-1
5 5 Amani’s Music 3.50 3.3 6-1
10 10 Poverty With Aview 20.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Loriebeth 30.00 5.5 10-1
8 8 Toast the Star 12.00 6.2 12-1
6 6 Heitzgirl 15.00 6.2 12-1
4 4 Army Chic 20.00 6.4 12-1
12 12 Sheer Jazz 30.00 6.7 13-1
14 14 New Rose 20.00 7.4 14-1
13 13 La Puma 30.00 7.5 14-1
11 11 Whiskey Serenade 30.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Swirling Seas 15.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Fool’s Adventure 3.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

Exit mobile version