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Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, April 18, 2026

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 D’s a Rock 5.00 1 2-1
3 3 Helen’s Revenge 3.50 1.6 3-1
4 4 Graceful Rose 3.00 2.4 4-1
5 5 Cloudy Chance 4.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Sunshine Lily 6.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 Admiral Sol 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Agia Marina 5.00 1 2-1
5 5 Sandtrap (IRE) 0.80 1.3 2-1
2 2 Scarlett’s Halo 8.00 1.4 3-1
4 4 Trail of Gold 4.50 1.8 3-1
3 3 Thiene (IRE) 8.00 1.8 3-1
7 7 Pookie 6.00 2.9 6-1
6 6 Widdershins 50.00 6.2 12-1
8 8 Brunch With Amy 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Bernieandtherose 2.50 1 2-1
2 2 Romantic Dancer 3.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 Filly Freedom 2.00 3 6-1
4 4 Kadena 8.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Always Practical 5.00 5.5 10-1
3 3 Sarir 6.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Bay Shore S.) – Bay Shore S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Solitude Dude 0.60 1 2-1
3 3 Fulmine 6.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Racetrack Romance 12.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Time to Roll 6.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Igniter 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Unmiztaken 5.00 1 2-1
9 9 Cosmic Candy Girl 2.50 1.5 3-1
7 7 Downtown Channel 3.00 2.5 5-1
3 3 Lady Wisdom 10.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Quick Power Nap 12.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Starlight Dancer 6.00 5.7 11-1
10 10 Pocket Queens 8.00 6.4 12-1
2 2 Queen Sally 20.00 6.6 12-1
8 8 Lonchura 50.00 9.5 18-1
14 14 Top of the Table 3.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Heavenly Light 10.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Timia 8.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Full Pour 2.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Blue Note 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 High Leverage 4.00 1 2-1
7 7 Mo Curls 6.00 1.9 4-1
3 3 Sicilian Dancer 12.00 2.2 4-1
9 9 Nowucme Nowudont 5.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Classic Commander 8.00 3 6-1
4 4 Ohonte’s Own 8.00 4.3 8-1
8 8 Pilot Knob 12.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Homewood Hustle 3.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Tuning In 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Leo’s Reward 4.00 1 2-1
4 4 Kenny Be 3.00 1.1 2-1
6 6 Ducky Medwick 12.00 1.4 3-1
2 2 Mozambique 4.50 1.4 3-1
1 1 Tiote 12.00 1.4 3-1
5 5 Solo Dancing 20.00 3.4 6-1
7 7 Guilty 8.00 4.6 9-1
8 8 Fireballin 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Intellect (FR) 0.50 1 2-1
1 1 Agate Road 12.00 2.7 5-1
7 7 Exact Estimate 8.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Pass the Hat 6.00 4 7-1
9 9 Mayday Malone (GB) 10.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Big Blue Line 30.00 5.7 11-1
6 6 Garamond 12.00 6 11-1
8 8 I’m A Gambler (IRE) 30.00 7.9 15-1
16 16 Castle Chaos 12.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Celestial Glaze 8.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Otago 15.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Treaty Obligation 12.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Dr. Kraft 6.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Bramito 1.60 SCRATCH
14 14 Waitlist 4.50 SCRATCH
11 11 Ranger Battalion 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Irish Goodbye 2.00 1 2-1
2 2 Volatile Situation 8.00 1.7 3-1
3 3 Max Money 3.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Bakuto 4.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Lord King 8.00 4.5 8-1
5 5 George’s Gold 12.00 5.7 11-1
4 4 Portadown Lad 30.00 6 11-1
9 9 Nordic Fyre 12.00 6.5 12-1
7 7 Teuflesdale 10.00 9 17-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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