Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Song of Sarah | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Raghba | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sonhador | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Babysitter | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Reality Star | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Milky Way | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Whiskey Shot | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Tiz Freedom | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | D Day Sky | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Stonemont Reunion | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Romantic Lead | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Consolidated | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ryu Mo | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Phraseologism | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bonafide | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Hot Mash | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Stepping Stones | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Perfect Figure | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Bourbon Notes | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 16 | 16 | Pillar of Beauty | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Capturing | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Trust Fund Philly | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Something Stronger | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Betty’s Dance | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Family | 12.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Glean | 15.00 | 11.6 | 22-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bolt Dior | 15.00 | 11.6 | 22-1 |
| 14 | 14 | J Z’s Last Schance | 20.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Miss Lonelle | 20.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Viva Vienne | 20.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Valala | 20.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Morunning | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mary’s Boy Bolt | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Baytown Bruiser | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Askari | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ice Shot | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Armed N Dangerous | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Protective | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Truly Legit | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mountain Wolf | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Susan’s Boy | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Street Party | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Discotheque | 6.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Money Man | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Tremendously | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Blue Mountains | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Good Willie | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Road Trippin | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dare Defying | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Syntagma | 15.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Pelican Bay | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Stop the Nonsense | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Kentucky Belle | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Surprise Ending | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Candy Rockette | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bless Her | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dagmara | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ring Rights | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Classic Glide | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bright Star | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Temple Goddess | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Unlimited Gold | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Whatchatalkinabout | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Floodlites | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kalahari Dreams | 3.50 | 1.9 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Modus Bestia | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Keep It Easy | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Can Do Andrew | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Politicallycorrect | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Arrest Me Red | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Works for Me | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | My Own | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Troubleshooting | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dhabab (IRE) | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Silent Heart | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Run Carson | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Full Disclosure | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Seminole Chief | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Runnin’ Rocket | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Coming in Hot | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Ben Ali S.) – Ben Ali S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Batten Down | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Rattle N Roll | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Stars and Stripes | 4.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | British Isles | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | San Siro | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Honor Marie | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tennessee Lamb | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Awesome Aaron | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Guns and Glory | 50.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Visitlex Elkhorn S.) – Visitlex Elkhorn S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Burnham Square | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tawny Port | 4.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Truly Quality | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Grand Sonata | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Utah Beach | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Desvio | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Dancin in Da’nile | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fleetfoot (IRE) | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Padiddle | 15.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Anegada | 15.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Navy Seal (IRE) | 15.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Freedom’s Way | 20.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Presider | 20.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Be the Light | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Island Flower | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Miss Complicated | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fast Gun | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Govern | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | She’s Our Girl | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Army’s Marauder | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | West of Lex | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Full Dolly | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Thesewallshaveears | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | River Rise | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Rhapsody in Blue | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.