Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Sonhador | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Raghba | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Reality Star | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Milky Way | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Babysitter | 4.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Song of Sarah | 2.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Whiskey Shot | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Stonemont Reunion | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Tiz Freedom | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ryu Mo | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Romantic Lead | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Consolidated | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bonafide | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Phraseologism | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | D Day Sky | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Hot Mash | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Stepping Stones | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Glean | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Perfect Figure | 5.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Capturing | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Something Stronger | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Valala | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Betty’s Dance | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bolt Dior | 15.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Miss Lonelle | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bourbon Notes | 6.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Viva Vienne | 20.00 | 11.1 | 21-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Trust Fund Philly | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Family | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | J Z’s Last Schance | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Pillar of Beauty | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Protective | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Askari | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Morunning | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mary’s Boy Bolt | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Armed N Dangerous | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Ice Shot | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mountain Wolf | 30.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Baytown Bruiser | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Truly Legit | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Discotheque | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Road Trippin | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Pelican Bay | 20.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Blue Mountains | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Good Willie | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Syntagma | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Street Party | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dare Defying | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Stop the Nonsense | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Tremendously | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Money Man | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Susan’s Boy | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Surprise Ending | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Kentucky Belle | 1.60 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Classic Glide | 15.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bless Her | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ring Rights | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Candy Rockette | 4.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dagmara | 8.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Temple Goddess | 30.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bright Star | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Unlimited Gold | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Whatchatalkinabout | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Floodlites | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Can Do Andrew | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Kalahari Dreams | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Keep It Easy | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Modus Bestia | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Politicallycorrect | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Arrest Me Red | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Troubleshooting | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Silent Heart | 10.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Works for Me | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Run Carson | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Dhabab (IRE) | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Seminole Chief | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Full Disclosure | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | My Own | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Coming in Hot | 30.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Runnin’ Rocket | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Ben Ali S.) – Ben Ali S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Rattle N Roll | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Stars and Stripes | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | San Siro | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Batten Down | 2.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | British Isles | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Awesome Aaron | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tennessee Lamb | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Guns and Glory | 50.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Honor Marie | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Visitlex Elkhorn S.) – Visitlex Elkhorn S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Truly Quality | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Utah Beach | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fleetfoot (IRE) | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Grand Sonata | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Burnham Square | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Freedom’s Way | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tawny Port | 4.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Navy Seal (IRE) | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Presider | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Desvio | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Anegada | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Padiddle | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Dancin in Da’nile | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Miss Complicated | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Be the Light | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | West of Lex | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Govern | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fast Gun | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Full Dolly | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Island Flower | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | River Rise | 30.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | She’s Our Girl | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Rhapsody in Blue | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Thesewallshaveears | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Army’s Marauder | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.