Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | She’s No Quant | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Midnight Cowgirl | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Christa McAuliffe | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Holdthatrainbow | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Melba Montgomery | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Risky Pleasure | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Little Gator | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kitty Mac | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Liam Smith | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cody Boy | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tessuto | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tapalo | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kid Dynasty | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Spearfish | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Unbridled Vision | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (John Shear S.) – John Shear S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Track Tiger | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Later Than Planned (IRE) | 1.80 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Iriseach (IRE) | 2.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Caro Buono (FR) | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Won for Lou | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Theresasilverlinin | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | She’s Splendid | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ryan’s Girl | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Love Our Family | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Unbridled Scholar | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rousing Jewel | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mastery Kat | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Perfect Life | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Marla Hooch | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | The Loan Exchange | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jacklyn Lucas | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Impressionistic | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fancy Danzing | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Magic Carpet Ride | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Surprise D’ Oro | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Hot Day Girl | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lyndee’s Dream | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Twisted Humor | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Bitter Truth | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Play for Me | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lovely Medaglia | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Vronaway | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Julia Street | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Tina’s Princess | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Duchess Cat | 15.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Spicy Rosso | 20.00 | 8.7 | 17-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kambree’s Flyer | 20.00 | 8.7 | 17-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bernie’s Big Baby | 20.00 | 8.7 | 17-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Palace Mischief | 30.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Despite | 30.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (American S.) – American S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Almendares (GB) | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sumter | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | King of Gosford (GB) | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Seal Team (GB) | 5.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Genius Jimmy | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Captain Choochies | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Twirling Point | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | White Mountain | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Irish Element | 2.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Typhoon Tommy | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Aloha Chrome | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Audible Silence | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Macho Man | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bandolero | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fincairn | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mischief Moments | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Mars Magic | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Rethink | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Andiamo Ragazza | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Marian Cross (GB) | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Tequilaandtherapy | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Yoga Master (GB) | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bette Davis Eyes (IRE) | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Saariselka (GB) | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Shining River (GB) | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Legal Heir | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | McGregor | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Diaghilev | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Bright Eye Bungle (IRE) | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kelce | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Fan Base | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tiz All That | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Monumental | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bako Country | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Conquer We Must (IRE) | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.