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Keeneland Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, April 19, 2026

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Hurry Hurry 4.00 1 2-1
7 7 Carolo Rapido 3.50 1.8 3-1
5 5 Real Fast 10.00 2 4-1
1 1 Badge of War 8.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Tarantino 1.40 SCRATCH
6 6 Goldeneye 4.50 SCRATCH
2 2 Bestfriend Rocket 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Country Club 3.00 1 2-1
1 1 Bartender 1.80 1.4 3-1
9 9 Don’t Be Salty 10.00 2.7 5-1
7 7 Tutta Bella 8.00 4 8-1
2 2 Romany Road 4.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Tiz Salty 20.00 4.9 9-1
8 8 American Select 12.00 5.2 10-1
3 3 Nan O’Hara 20.00 7.3 14-1
6 6 Dakota Cam 10.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Red Raze 4.50 1 2-1
8 8 Cloud Number Nine 20.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Chasing Sunsets 3.50 3.3 6-1
6 6 Shining Silver 10.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Gus’s Gal 2.50 3.4 6-1
9 9 Crystal Frost 20.00 3.4 6-1
12 12 Fifteen Over 15.00 4.6 9-1
13 13 Dani Girl 6.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 Speightsy Rival 10.00 7.6 14-1
2 2 Valiant War Girl 30.00 7.9 15-1
3 3 Solaia 8.00 8.1 15-1
11 11 Teralee’s Charm 30.00 9.6 18-1
15 15 Willowy 30.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Hot Gamer 4.50 SCRATCH
14 14 Spotted 8.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Mo Town Renee 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Up Country 1.20 1 2-1
8 8 Money Man 8.00 2.4 4-1
3 3 Nomolimbo 10.00 4.5 9-1
1 1 Noble Anthem 8.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Reb 30.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Saugeen 6.00 7.2 14-1
7 7 Kingsmere 15.00 8 15-1
6 6 Oubliette 20.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Commerce 3.50 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Final Story 0.80 1 2-1
1 1 Our Forefathers 6.00 2 4-1
10 10 Radar Lock 12.00 2.9 5-1
4 4 Mouqeer 15.00 3.5 7-1
8 8 Limelight 30.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Cierto 4.50 5.2 10-1
6 6 Desert Fox 20.00 5.6 11-1
9 9 Barracks 20.00 6 11-1
11 11 Dawes Point 15.00 6.1 12-1
3 3 Sense of Freedom 30.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Owie 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Gairloch 5.00 1 2-1
12 12 Beautiful War 8.00 1.8 3-1
10 10 Noble Dynasty 6.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 McCready 10.00 4.5 9-1
11 11 Epic Desire 15.00 5.7 11-1
3 3 Knoty Knicks 4.00 5.8 11-1
7 7 Patrol Squad Six 4.50 5.9 11-1
9 9 Navigation 8.00 6.5 12-1
8 8 Garryowen 15.00 7.4 14-1
5 5 Kravitz 15.00 7.6 14-1
4 4 East Village 12.00 7.7 14-1
2 2 Survivin’onaprayer 50.00 8.4 16-1
13 13 Sharons Pharoah 3.50 SCRATCH
15 15 Best Known Secret 30.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Empire West 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Elnajd 1.60 1 2-1
4 4 Tre Italiani 4.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Nation 10.00 2.9 5-1
10 10 Northern Chill 20.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Dr. Park 6.00 4.1 8-1
7 7 House United 10.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Frosty Indulgence 15.00 5.4 10-1
9 9 Tamino 15.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 Sixtyseven Mustang 30.00 6.7 13-1
8 8 Academy 8.00 7.2 14-1
11 11 Big Gain 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Palisades S.) – Palisades S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Schwarzenegger 3.00 1 2-1
11 11 Intricate Spirit 4.50 3.6 7-1
10 10 Throckmorton 6.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Sandal’s Song 6.00 5.6 11-1
12 12 Shipmate 8.00 6 11-1
7 7 Monster 15.00 6.3 12-1
5 5 Archimedes 10.00 6.5 12-1
9 9 Azizam (GB) 15.00 6.8 13-1
8 8 Reb Five 10.00 7.5 14-1
2 2 Walter the Mason 15.00 8.2 15-1
13 13 Itza Lock 20.00 8.4 16-1
3 3 Swung 20.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Track Tiger 30.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Rebel With a Cause 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 The Hund 8.00 1 2-1
8 8 Bod Beach 4.50 1.7 3-1
2 2 Non Conforming 10.00 2.3 4-1
7 7 Playonwords 10.00 2.3 4-1
3 3 Quarry 4.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Tom’s Cruising 12.00 3.1 6-1
12 12 Yes Chef 15.00 3.7 7-1
10 10 Hutchinson 15.00 5.5 10-1
6 6 Tilt a Twirl 6.00 7.8 15-1
11 11 Asheville 5.00 7.9 15-1
4 4 Prince J J 15.00 8.3 16-1
9 9 Tachin Up 30.00 8.9 17-1
13 13 No Politics 20.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Soho Jimmy 30.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Itchy 12.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Cerberus 10.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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