Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Air of Defiance | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Get Her Number | 0.60 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Big Gain | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tiverton (GB) | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ahumado | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Extravagant Prince | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Express Success | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Messassy | 30.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sharpie Girl | 8.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lumberjill | 10.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Baytown Sassy | 10.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sanchoo | 1.60 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mesdemon | 20.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ruiva | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Jettie’s Beach | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | By Grace | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Don’t Say It | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Commanded | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Socialbutterflytam | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Right Now | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Protomagic | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Daring Hope | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Frango Electrico | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Just an Opinion | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Relative Value (GB) | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Operation Overlord | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | My Boy Tony | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lazlo | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Warlander | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | English Law | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hall Monitor | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Call Me Johnny | 30.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Devil Anse | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Zapruder | 30.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Telescopic | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | The Dover Specter | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Kicking Clear | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Maximum Promise | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Editor | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Big Boy Thunder | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Props | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Join | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Rare Eclipse | 4.50 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Power Aura | 10.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | J David | 30.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Nanosecond | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Tenacity | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Turn and Run | 30.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Jack Charles (GB) | 6.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Big Trouble | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Paynt Ya Later | 15.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Pandora’s Gift (IRE) | 1.60 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ms. Tart | 12.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bourbon Memory | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Me Governor | 15.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Coco Abarrio | 20.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | She’s a Tempest | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lovely Emma | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Baby No Worries | 30.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Justinqueso | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Evanescence | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lynn’s Milky Way | 1.80 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Shotgun Wedding | 10.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Roswell | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Beyond Belief | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Marmalade Skye | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Gold Sovereign | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Nyquistador | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mortal Lock | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Bull Shoals | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Astar | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lahainaluna | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Protect and Defend | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Master Sommelier | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Dinglewood | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Go for Rocket | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Vermelho | 10.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Intuitive Wisdom | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Mr Bobo | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Limited Edition | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Culture War | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Swerve | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.