Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Evocation | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 2 | Parking Lot Pours | 1.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1A | 6 | Hand It Over | 1.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Reign Champagne | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Carmalieta | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 7 | Ragtime Sizzle | 2.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bl Forty | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Irish Guard | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | My Russian | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | No Kid of Mine | 10.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Arkansas Dave | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mandatory Mission | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hurricane Comin | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Banded Writ | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Ruly’s Street | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Pistol Padre | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Top Gun Tommy | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Juilliard | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sutherland | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fifth Avenue | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Derby Date | 4.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Capital Connection | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Amundson | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Dutch Mills | 1.40 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 1A | 7 | Classic Cut | 2.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | My Dominator | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 9 | Lamplighter Jack | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 10 | Texas Holdem | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Allo Enry | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Face Value | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 5 | Kunshan Bridge | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Laws of Man | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Stoke the Fire | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Arthur’s Court | 2.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Promissione | 1.80 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Na Pali Joe | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Scottish Storm | 20.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Gold Gunner | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Liberty’s Champion | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Chaperone | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Foolish Mortal | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Raaq Tansani | 4.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Mor Cheese Please | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Dreamofyou | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Astro Beau | 12.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bayou Flyer | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Refined Design | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Campaign Quote | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fleetwood Jack | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Into Battle | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Biloba | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Prime Suspect | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Devilish Act | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bedeviled | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Champagne Liberal | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Wild Cat Curlin | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | About Face | 2.50 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Slobberknocker | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Victory Corps | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Ratings Handicap) – Ratings Handicap
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Pink Ruby | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Crushed Ice | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Mo Sense | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Morning Miracle | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | End of Innocence | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tartaria | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Relevate | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Esperanza’s Spirit | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Clearly Creeps | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Kentucky Starlet | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Brass Nucks | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Maxxus | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Ripple’s Rocket | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Dawson James | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 1A | 10 | Improbability | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 5 | Lower Broadway | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 11 | Best Flat Out | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Fulton | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Doyouhearme | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Go Go Ro Ro | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Gun Bolt | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.