Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Pure Joy | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Plaza Cue | 2.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ati Girl | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Island Girl | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Too Many Mikes | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Una Quaedam | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Happy Away | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sargent Bilko | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Be My Pal | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Uncle With Money | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tigrado | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mo Surprises | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tio Colocho | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mindful Keeper | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Lady Orient | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Barbratina | 2.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Saint Nancy S | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Champagne Nights | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Wild Acclaim | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mint Driven | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Lord Majesty | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Illini | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Upturned Brim | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Hocus | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bet On Bret | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Be Here | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Outlier | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ready Pursuit | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Wistucky | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Exploration | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Baytown Bruiser | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tiger’s Legacy | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bridge Classic | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Michael’s Cove | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Click | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Blasphemous Rumors | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cocoa Nimbus | 4.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dancewhenyoucan | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Velveteen | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Dodecahedron | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cookie Time | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Frosty for Ever | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Evalina | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mariposa Moon | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Muscle Mommy | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pauline’s Angel | 30.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Ojos Locos | 30.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Birkin Elegance | 30.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Classy’n Connected | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Dozen Diamonds | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Goodbetterbest | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sheila’s Lion | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jill Jitterbug | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Missy Bee | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Razzle Red | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | White Lilacs | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lady Blake | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Shadow Coast | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Chi Town Prince | 4.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Where Y’at | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Guardian | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Army Wildcatter | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | A Cab On the Rocks | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mr. Sensei | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Stefan’s Title | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | War Munny | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Pulgarcito | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Alter Boy | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Imperial Ruler | 30.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dewy’s Denali | 30.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Roxelana S. Presented By Lg&e Ku) – Roxelana S. Presented By Lg&e Ku
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | One Magic Philly | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lotsandlotsofcandy | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Vincey Girl | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Zeitlos | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jersey Pearl | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mink’s Palace | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Asternia | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lucille Ball | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Without (IRE) | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Treaty of Rome | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ashley’s Archer | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Seven Wonders | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fort Thomas | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Write Off Jerry | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Theodore George | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Telescopic | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Curlin’s Gesture | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 12 | 12 | War Officer | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 1 | 1 | The Dover Specter | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Taunting | 30.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ramblin | 30.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.