Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Nogradi | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cant Stop Munnings | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Different Gravy | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bourbon Flight | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | C McGriff | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Six String Prince | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Midway Munny | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Cardio Cat | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | She’s Toasty | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Go New York Go | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Valkyrie | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Lady Lux | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Storm Diva | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Youhadme At Merlot | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Respected Mind | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rebelka | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Angel Life | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Powerful Rose | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | State Charmer | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Juanita Mychiquita | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Will Believe | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Gladly | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Flashy Aviator | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rocky World | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Baby Hello | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Betty Who | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | High Grace | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ladies Love Cash | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Epic Summer | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mischief Mania | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Kid Twist | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Nuck Chorris | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sonic Surge | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Perfect Audible | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Versed | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Coal Fired | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Calling On Heaven | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Impavido | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Next Time | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Grab the Spark | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Richeztoo | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Blazing | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Orville’s Map | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Big Nelson | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Cause Ima Boss | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dress Good | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Run Curtis Run | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Step Forward | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Autodrive | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Golden Afternoon | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Amoudi Bay | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sine Qua Non | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | T Kraft | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Alder | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Sweet Bebsi | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ride the Broom | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Loving Mischief | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Waffle House Gang | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mo Indian Lady | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | I’m a Cookie Lover | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mamarsha | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | B D’s Angel | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sound the Siren | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Zafyre | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Stompin Grapes | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tiernanogue | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Direct Strike | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | King of Heat | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Silver Shot | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sartorial | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Prayer | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Still Sober | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | In America | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Brilliantly | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Midway Memories | 4.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Snipsnippitysnip | 4.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Faithful Departed | 5.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Totally Justified | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Plaza Athenee (GB) | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Olivia Valentina | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Humbled | 12.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Salty Senorita | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 11 | 11 | French Mistress | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Red Beretta | 50.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.