Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Bucaro | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Kohoutek | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Elvis Himself | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Watch Out World | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | The Count Is On | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Robert’s Moon | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fletcher | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Ellinger | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | One True Dude | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Great Quality | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Laysen | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Neverworkedaday | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Overspent | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tethered Soul | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Set for Life | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Expresso Bay | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Zio Lino | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Tiz the Great | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Star Atlas | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Dad Joke | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Divine Swagger | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Golden Descent | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Goodluck Road | 12.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Quahog Republic | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hooraw | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Rio Del Valle | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Quain | 20.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | My Captain | 15.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | My Friend Lou | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Royal Renegade | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Let Fly | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Broadside Salvo | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Stormy Brew | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Cupid’s Choice | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Belle of Liberty | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Lighten | 2.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Butler Road | 30.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Maggie’s Moon | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Weather Beater | 4.50 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Check Ride | 8.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kara M S | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Golden Ellie | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Big Tankness | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Jessica’s Eyes | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Virginia Fitz | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Enduring Gold | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Great Heavens | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Rye Diggitydog | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Jigger | 30.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sinetic | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Superlastingsecret | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Derz Smart | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Elfuegomasbrilante | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Maupansant | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Triathelon | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Blackthorne Brusca | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Honor Mags | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Bourbon Outlaw | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Italiano Kid | 4.50 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | White Blue | 30.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Salvo Trigger | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Return Fire | 30.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Uncle Grey | 30.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Middleburg | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Strand Road | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Christmas Spirit | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Tactics | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Lost My Shoe | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Paco the Taco Man | 1.80 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Creed’s Vision | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Change My World | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lundi Loot | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ecumenical | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | All Gas No Brakes | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Juniper Juice | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Happy This Day | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Determind Princess | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Nick’s Notion | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Looks First | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Granuaile | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Nothinglesswilldo | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Weekend Wife | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Rehoboth Avenue | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | River City Runner | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cruisetheforest | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Babble | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Perkins Gem | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gonna Make It | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Bigshot Ness | 1.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.