Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Glen Airy | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Spoiler | 2.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Classic Legacy | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Midnight West | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Speed Bias | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Protonic Power | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Bossoftheblock | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Texas Sequoia | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Doubledaddy Issues | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Not for Everyone | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mspunkinsperegrine | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Maximum to Excel | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Melania T | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Charmit | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Flirtin Again | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Pirulita | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Itzel | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Kelly’s Girl | 3.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mo for Us | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kant Believe It | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lady Aberdeen | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Blue Squall | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Carson Bay | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Black Powder | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Onthestage | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Determinedly | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Hern | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Conquering Cat | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Machine Gun Man | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Woodcock Flight (IRE) | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Texas Cyclone | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Emmallene | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Conniption | 3.50 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Santa Luzia | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Miss Que Sera | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lonely Woman | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Cowboy Killer | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Add to Cart | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Missy Moosey | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Highway Seventy | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Ratings Handicap) – Ratings Handicap
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Gloriette | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Misty Muppet | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Wise Miss | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hallowed Hall | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Miranda’s Rocky | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Austrian Navy | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tell Me When | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Popperina | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hideki | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Splendid Song | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bet the Gray | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bodacious Bay | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mi Amiga | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Paynterpretty | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Metry Mama | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | The Long Embrace | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bird of Prey | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dream Eagle | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Majestic Overnight S.) – Majestic Overnight S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Anakarina | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ervadean | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | R Pretty Kitty | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dream Concert | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Spring Dancer | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pistol | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Extract’s Arrow | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Time Andbeyond | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Task | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gray Taps | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Butch | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Taken On the Run | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cool Under Fire | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Midnight Whirl | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Stormbender | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Saved | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.
