Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Banned for Life | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | You Ain’t Poppn | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Star’s Image | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tejon Pass | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Optical | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Keep On Moving | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Surf City | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Delightful Claire | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Chatter | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Shared Vision | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Going Steady | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | She’z the Law | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cotillard | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | In for a Spin | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Spotted | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Kopiana | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Souperrazzledazzle | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fresh Out | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | My Secret Dreams | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Market Strategy | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Silvertown | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Motown Sound | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Plot | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 13 | 13 | English Harbour | 4.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Theoretical | 4.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Breaking Hearts | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lexico | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Key Actress | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Devices (IRE) | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hardly Ready | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Lady Faye | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Wella | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Figurine | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Play On Player | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Ocean Ripple | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mother Lode | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Modern Escape | 30.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
| 16 | 16 | Argentinidad | 50.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Chasing Gray | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cliffs of Dover | 4.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jinxzi | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Big Rog | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Tregetour | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Spring St. Dreamer | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ando | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Silver Dime | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Kick It In | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Old Trace | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 11 | 11 | The Reinbow Factor | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Paired | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Chiquita’s Way | 30.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Uae President Cup Arabian S.) – Uae President Cup Arabian S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | RB BADONKADONK | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | DIAMOND GEM AA | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | WMA SMOKE SIGNAL | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | AA TAKE A CHANCE | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | HIGHH COUNTRY | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | QUICK RAE AA | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | WMA GRAND FINALE | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | HIGHH STAKES | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 1 | 1 | WMA WILD KISSES | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Honfleur | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cape Sounion (IRE) | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Private Property (IRE) | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Heavenly Melody | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Vow to Resiliency | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Not That Simple | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Bourbiana | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Cynical Humor | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Twinklee | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Wing Queen | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Perrylu | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Mass | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Strada Del Sogno | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Treat Yourself | 30.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sammy the Shark | 50.00 | 15 | 28-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Jensco | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Angel Bella | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Our Shenanigan | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Madeline’s Promise | 6.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Late to the Game | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tearin’up My Heart | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ashes and Diamonds | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Opening Verse S.) – Opening Verse S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Lagynos | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Quatrocento | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Layabout | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | West Hollywood | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Minaret Station | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Giocoso | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Chasing the Crown | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mi Bago | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Balnikhov (IRE) | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (St. Matthews Overnight S.) – St. Matthews Overnight S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Built | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Be You | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Maximum Bourbon | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Back Em Up | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Concrete Glory | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Jack’s Promise | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bourbon Bash | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Wendelssohn | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Billal | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lofty Adjudicator | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Air Invasion | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Mamzelle S. Presented By Kentucky Proud) – Mamzelle S. Presented By Kentucky Proud
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Cy Fair | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Slay the Day | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hen Party | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Final Accord | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Snappy Comeback | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Midnight Martini | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Snow Face Princess | 15.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Blushing Justice | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ifyousaidso | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Thank You Amy | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Gigabit | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Mizzou | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Prime Power | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Barker | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Five Wishes | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Castle Run | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Carcar Express | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Krewezin | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dark Rye | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Stormtown | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hellacious | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Boss’ Deed | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Royal Sapphire | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.