Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Operation Torch | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Peppermint Man | 2.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Giuro | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Candy Addiction | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Starship Magellan | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Saratoga Cruiser | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sponge Time | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Forza Azzurri | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | New Lease On Life | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Harpy | 1.60 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Army Medic | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Camm’s Girl | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Valley of Dawn | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Memory of My Life | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Gallant Knight | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Backonthechaingang | 12.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Swen | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Antillean | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bless America | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | My Great Illusion | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Lady Question | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ball Up Top | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mo Town Soul | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Miss Jenna | 12.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Western Lilly | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Vali Vali Val | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Sophistry | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Storm West | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Blond Jak | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Honor Her | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ellagio | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sara’s Rose | 4.50 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Let’s Go Philly | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Mythical Man | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jayhawk | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Act a Fool | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bakers Street | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Relampago Verde | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Citizen K | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Caldera | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Skellig Michael | 2.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Freaky Neeks | 8.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Oasis Prince | 10.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Swashbuckle | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lou the Body | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Hot Cocoa | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Starlight Luna | 12.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Come On Poppi | 1.60 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Jessica’s Dream | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Artiste | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Spirit of Jamaica | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rose Dancer | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.