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Belmont At The Big A Horse Racing Picks for Friday, May 1, 2026

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Oligarch 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 Nod to Tran 0.00 1 2-1
4 4 Hard Circle 0.00 1 2-1
3 3 Daw Samaa 0.00 1 2-1
7 7 Two Ducks 0.00 1 2-1
8 8 Fess 0.00 1 2-1
6 6 Jet Off 0.00 1 2-1
1 1 Town Dog 0.00 1 2-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Dat Dares Right 0.00 1 2-1
4 4 Sarir 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 Rare Society 0.00 1 2-1
5 5 A. P. Slingshot 0.00 1 2-1
3 3 Ishkabibble 0.00 1 2-1
6 6 Icy Legs 0.00 1 2-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Sweetest Princess 0.00 1 2-1
4 4 Fast and Frisky 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 Mommasgottagun 0.00 1 2-1
6 6 Early On 0.00 1 2-1
1 1 Giant At Work 0.00 1 2-1
3 3 She’s Grand 0.00 1 2-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Refuah 0.00 1 2-1
1 1 J J’s Ranger 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 Hours in a Day 0.00 1 2-1
3 3 Playa Del Mar 0.00 1 2-1
5 5 Oath of Omerta 0.00 1 2-1
4 4 Turn and Count 0.00 1 2-1
7 7 Cocktailsnkringle 0.00 1 2-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Before the Wind 0.00 1 2-1
5 5 Nonno Joe 0.00 1 2-1
6 6 Sleep Walking 0.00 1 2-1
4 4 Honoree 0.00 1 2-1
8 8 Nancy’s Laugh 0.00 1 2-1
10 10 Reign It In 0.00 1 2-1
7 7 Sfumato 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 Classic Commander 0.00 1 2-1
3 3 Easemyworriedmind 0.00 1 2-1
9 9 Judge Boushay 0.00 1 2-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Sheepshead Bay S.) – Sheepshead Bay S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Lady Firefoot 0.00 1 2-1
7 7 Bernietakescharge 0.00 1 2-1
3 3 No Show Sammy Jo (GB) 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 Storm Miami (IRE) 0.00 1 2-1
5 5 Dona Clota (CHI) 0.00 1 2-1
4 4 Unreasonable (IRE) 0.00 1 2-1
6 6 Kiamba (IRE) 0.00 1 2-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Whittington Park 0.00 1 2-1
4 4 Phileas Fogg 0.00 1 2-1
6 6 Warp Nine 0.00 1 2-1
5 5 Otello 0.00 1 2-1
3 3 Le Gris 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 Pay Billy 0.00 1 2-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Can’t Fool Me 0.00 1 2-1
8 8 Snowy Evening 0.00 1 2-1
10 10 Princess Becca 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 Midnight Concerto 0.00 1 2-1
6 6 Hello Beauty 0.00 1 2-1
1 1 Scythian 0.00 1 2-1
9 9 Royal Bobbie 0.00 1 2-1
5 5 Trail of Gold 0.00 1 2-1
3 3 Higher Force 0.00 1 2-1
7 7 National Archive 0.00 1 2-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Classic Cara 0.00 1 2-1
5 5 Yolo 0.00 1 2-1
11 11 Sweet Mackenzie 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 Magnum’s Microbrst 0.00 1 2-1
4 4 Katerina Ristova 0.00 1 2-1
6 6 Paraiba Blue 0.00 1 2-1
7 7 Mo Complex 0.00 1 2-1
12 12 Key Actress 0.00 1 2-1
13 13 Mappy 0.00 1 2-1
1 1 Alma’s Law 0.00 1 2-1
10 10 Truda 0.00 1 2-1
8 8 Defining Role 0.00 1 2-1
9 9 Essence L Vee 0.00 1 2-1
14 14 Pay the Bills (FR) 0.00 1 2-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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