Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Father Ted | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sir Davis | 2.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pecos River | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Moon | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Agides | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Code Duello | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Enterdadragon | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Wizard of Westwood | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Uncle Happy | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Caribbean King | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Headstrong Ways | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Aloha Dreamin | 2.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Neezer Dalton | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Toulouse Detrac | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lena Lindgard | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tupelo | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Princess Daddy | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Bear’s Board | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Infinity Dream | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Motet | 3.50 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Eighties | 4.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Anywaythewindblows (GB) | 4.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mia Forza | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Buena Vida | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sentient Soon | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lahar | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Endless Smoke | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Shemakesmemad | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Stay Bossy | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Poki Loki | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Stay My Girl | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Start the Ride | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Uecker | 2.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Allequin Summer | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Southern Melodee | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Beeblebrox | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Bitter Truth | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Gogotiz | 2.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Danzig Til Dawn | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Southern Riff | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sky At Sunrise | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Despite | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Little Originaire | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kambree’s Flyer | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Jennys Wine Girl | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Blame It On Abby | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Baby Needs Shoes | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Butterfly Beach | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Up for the Hunt | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Isle of Angels | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Chef Kate | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Magic Carpet Ride | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Amor Secreto | 20.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Thriving Autism | 20.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Tina’s Princess | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Atina Liz | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.