Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Landing Craft | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pop Paul | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Skynet | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Army Wildcatter | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Nash Potatoes | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Muir Woods | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dispersion | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Longstrider | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Click | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sweetbitters | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Frosty for Ever | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Total Fabrication | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Crystal Frost | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Voluntold | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Muscle Mommy | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Pauline’s Angel | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Chiquita’s Way | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Mirage | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Armed N Dangerous | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Askari | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Baytown Bruiser | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Consolidated | 6.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Truly Legit | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Emancipation | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | I Don’t Get It | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Warrior Richard | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Skyro | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Eye Witness | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Authentic Gallop | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bestfriend Rocket | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Zapruder | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Comprehensive | 1.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 16 | 16 | Lahainaluna | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sigfrid | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 14 | 14 | T V Channel | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Supercharger | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Maximus Prime | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Royal Causeway | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Terre Haute | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Mr Bobo | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Swerve | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Irish Mojo | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Hey Dey | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Bluegrass Pike | 20.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Culper Code | 20.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Limelight | 20.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 |
| 7 | 7 | In America | 30.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Sharons Angels | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Stone County | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Scuffle | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Gentleman Jim | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | In Rainbows | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Tims | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sequoia Stars | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Rochester | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Run Like Forrest | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Wrong Shoes | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Grand Luxx | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jaboss | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Empath | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | What’s the Tea | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Trapped | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Special Sauce | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sassy Fox | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | California Smoke | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Sumood | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Love’m Or Liam | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Two Beers by Ten | 4.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Sheriff Bart | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Monterey Bay | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Cinister Cix | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dr. Park | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rocky Joy | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Shure | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Jimmy Rules | 20.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Master Controller | 20.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 13 | 13 | B B Prince | 30.00 | 15 | 28-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Taunting | 30.00 | 15 | 28-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Master of Light | 30.00 | 15 | 28-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Show of Force | 30.00 | 15 | 28-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Admiral Dennis | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gould’s Gold | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tiztastic | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bernin Hot | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Timeout | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tennessee Lamb | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Welaka | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (William Walker S.) – William Walker S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Outfielder | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Throckmorton | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Reb Five | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sandal’s Song | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Twilight Delight | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rebel With a Cause | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ketchum | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Walter the Mason | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Rockin Robin | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Quick to Charm | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Daring Madison | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Passionfruit | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ships Inn | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lil Tipsy | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cognizant | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | West of Lex | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tanya’s Momentum | 15.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cosmopolitan Lady | 20.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Donna Strada | 20.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Full Dolly | 20.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lost Chord | 20.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.