Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Sweet Mary | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Speech and Drama | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | I Know Nothing | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Wine’s Mistress | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Three Sock Sadie | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Yalina | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sr Seventyone | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Angel Life | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Theprincessfactor | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Authentic Angel | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Haleakala | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mustang Lady | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Theoretically | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Zen Yoga | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Firebird Suite | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tiz Salty | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Next Up | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Thatsalrightmama | 3.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hello Angel | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Country Club | 4.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Thea | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Planet Clare | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Poema | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gal Capone | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | From Scratch | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bamtwentyklater | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Scribble | 4.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dolce Vino | 5.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lovely Words | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Menkaure | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Merry Madison | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | California Smoke | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Write Off Jerry | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Tapit Shoes | 4.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Curahee | 5.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Offlee Naughty | 6.00 | 1.9 | 3-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Factor Analysis | 6.00 | 1.9 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Army Officer | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sugoi | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 11 | 11 | War Officer | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Risk Manager | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Taunting | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Protonic Power | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 2 | 2 | The Minkster | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Next Time | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Carcar Express | 4.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Start Out | 4.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Richeztoo | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Power Aura | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Carson | 10.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cause Ima Boss | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Circle the Storm | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Big Nelson | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Barstool | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Kisses From Brazil | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Malevaje | 50.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Authentic Patriot | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rock Music | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Discotheque | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Buntus Foclora | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pelican Hill | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Accord | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Barracks | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Torre Eiffel | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Blessed Warrior | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Stormiest | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Soho Jimmy | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 14 | Icona (IRE) | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Competitive Market | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Princess Attitude | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Totally Justified | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Morana | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sunshine Daydream | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bojaca Blessing | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Princess Em Too | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Betty’s Dance | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Winning Streep | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Gerlin’s Empire | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Swing Vote | 15.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 16 | 16 | Spa Prospector | 15.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tetiaroa | 20.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 |
| 13 | 13 | State of Joy (IRE) | 20.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Temple Goddess | 30.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Miracle Mark | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gethsemane | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Hot Property | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Clocker Special | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | White Whale | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Admiral Hall | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Show of Force | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Big Garry | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Start Mo Up | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | American Debutante (IRE) | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Private Property (IRE) | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Elida’s Angel (IRE) | 5.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Just Entitled | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | That Wasn’t Me | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Emerald Spun | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Tulip | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lady Sybil | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 16 | 16 | Charted Destiny | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Wonzee Weather | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Empress Sisi | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | One Happy Island | 20.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Munny Reigns | 20.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Wujood | 30.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Birch Run | 30.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
| 15 | 15 | In Speight of Zoom | 30.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.
