Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Patrick’s Promise | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Middleburg | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Oracle of Beaufort | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Thingamabob | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Beekman Street | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Desperate Proposal | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | James P Sullivan | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tyson’s Delivery | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Wicked Boss | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Gimme Two Shots | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gallo | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | El Papacito | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | My Captain | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Transquaking | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Baby Bobby | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Hysterics | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Meredithslightning | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Hotter Than Fire | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Zeta Jones | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Roberta | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Princess Charming | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rylnnslookinglucky | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Red Drapes | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Broad Run | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Loaf of Sof | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Consider Elle Nore | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rosie’s Fortune | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Beach Cowboy | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cut Glass | 1.40 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Daddy Yankee | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Addy’s Laddy T N T | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Silverbullettwenty | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sin Permiso | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Then What Time | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Frye Island (IRE) | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Call Me a Cab | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Elon | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Dancing Bear | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tik Tok Daddy | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | El Junior | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hoppetosse | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 16 | 16 | This Is the Life | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Box of Rockets | 20.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Dats Tap | 20.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Go to Bingo | 20.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Raging Cajun | 20.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 |
| 15 | 15 | In Honor of Jeff | 20.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Yercan Maro (ARG) | 20.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bad Boy Blaze | 30.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 15 | Vaya Jeffe | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Tasker | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Win Street | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Regency Tale | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Shakin My Head | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 13 | 13 | M D Fieldstone | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Paid Vacation | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Skullduggery | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Wickham Lane | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | My Pal Bill | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Silver Saber | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Big Tiger | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bald Cypress | 20.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 |
| 16 | 16 | Hard Swing | 20.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Garage Beers | 20.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Shali | 30.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Greyline Station | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Party With Smarty | 2.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Long Legged Luis | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Marcan Love | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sell It | 8.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tethered Soul | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Right of Rush | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Making Daisys | 0.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tacit Value | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Momaxie | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Diamond N Dress | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Nothinglesswilldo | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Yau Majesty | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Too Loose La Trek | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Holy Fit | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rockin Lady | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Dona Luna | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Kinda Krazy | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Zen Dreams | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Quality Swag | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Zirconia | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Incendiary | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Belle’s Baby | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Sylvette | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.