Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Victorious Dream (IRE) | 0.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fire Ban | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Wolf Hill | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Holly Goquickly (FR) | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kinzlee’scharisma | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Isntsheloverly | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Pocket Venus | 0.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lady Gambita | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Angel Baby | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Honey Bucket | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sexy Blue | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | King of Dragons | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Goodfella (IRE) | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Zagreus | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Just a Graze | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sand Bagger | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bad to the Bones | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Dorie Miller | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Spotted Haze | 2.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Clubhouse Cutie | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Timekeeper’s Charm | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ryan’s Girl | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Matt At Five | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | De Facto | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dazzle Comm | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Confidence Man | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Heroic Dose | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Debbies Gettinghot | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hit the Track Jack | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | The Big Cheeseola | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Alpine Thunder | 2.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Morello | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Windribbon | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Melanie’s Tiger | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Naval Harbor | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Wicklow Hills | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Proud Racer | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Positive Times | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Maddie Tee | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Big Notion | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gilchrist | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | He’s Got Fire | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Smiling Don | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Take Another Swing | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Private Gem | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mo Koko | 2.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Comedy Town | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Curlin’s Kaos | 8.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | The Last Straw | 8.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tapalo | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Zeus’ War | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Siren Lure S.) – Siren Lure S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Sorrento Sky (IRE) | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Unconquerable Keen (IRE) | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Boss Sully | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Zio Jo | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Virat | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Artislas | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Friendly Confines | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Bartholdy | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Vlahos | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Simple Song | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Charge for Gold | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.