Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Wolf Hill | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kinzlee’scharisma | 15.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Victorious Dream (IRE) | 0.80 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Holly Goquickly (FR) | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fire Ban | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Isntsheloverly | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Honey Bucket | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lady Gambita | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Angel Baby | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pocket Venus | 0.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sexy Blue | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Zagreus | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Goodfella (IRE) | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sand Bagger | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Just a Graze | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | King of Dragons | 1.60 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bad to the Bones | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Spotted Haze | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dorie Miller | 1.60 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Timekeeper’s Charm | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ryan’s Girl | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Clubhouse Cutie | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Matt At Five | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Debbies Gettinghot | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Confidence Man | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hit the Track Jack | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dazzle Comm | 5.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | De Facto | 4.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Heroic Dose | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Windribbon | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Alpine Thunder | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Naval Harbor | 12.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Melanie’s Tiger | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | The Big Cheeseola | 2.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Morello | 3.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Wicklow Hills | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Proud Racer | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gilchrist | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Positive Times | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Maddie Tee | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | He’s Got Fire | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Big Notion | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Smiling Don | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Take Another Swing | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Private Gem | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Comedy Town | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | The Last Straw | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Curlin’s Kaos | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tapalo | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mo Koko | 2.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Zeus’ War | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Siren Lure S.) – Siren Lure S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Virat | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sorrento Sky (IRE) | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Artislas | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Zio Jo | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Unconquerable Keen (IRE) | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Boss Sully | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Friendly Confines | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Vlahos | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Bartholdy | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Charge for Gold | 30.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Simple Song | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.