Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Luminous Secret | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | As the Bell Toles | 1.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Wicked Kitten | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Turbo Millie | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Eloper | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Amorica | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Shines Madelin | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Margo’s Margarita | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Alyvia Mavis | 1.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Nit Witness | 1.80 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Vanaka | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sweet Summer Love | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sweet and Feisty | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Missy’s Map | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Majestic Tiger | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Collection Day | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Strategist | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Artwell | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tubtimsiam | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Hawkstone | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pierce Elevated | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Hardy Choice | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Martini Martin | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Long Astride | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Blues Music | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Line of Frost | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Mo Town | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Everlasting Lover | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | It’s Nancytime Now | 5.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Golden Ellie | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Run Chachy Run | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Broadcaster | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Heaven Street | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Amusing Mischief | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Protege | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ikigai | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Russian Hammer | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Prom Knight | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Old Town Road | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Discreet Devil | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Beauxbatons | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sassy Sangria | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Red Beach | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Blame and Fortune | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Irish Jig | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dream Eagle | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Medium Cool | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lizzy Liz | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Chatelot | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Echo Juliet | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Embrace the Moment | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Parametric | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Panchita | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Essentially Fast | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Twelve Nelson | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Borz | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sweet Winner | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | King of the World | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Palace Revolt | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mencke | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.