Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Better Watch It | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Triathelon | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Derz Smart | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Attrayant | 5.00 | 1.9 | 3-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Majestic Blue | 5.00 | 1.9 | 3-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Imperial Spy | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dats Tap | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sneaking Suspicion | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 16 | 16 | Mach Two Blue | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Fairfield Bay | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Blackthorne Brusca | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Maupansant | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Raging Cajun | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Salvo Trigger | 20.00 | 10.3 | 20-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tactics | 20.00 | 10.3 | 20-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Kitten’s Ploy | 30.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Neverworkedaday | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hell Ofa Hillbilly | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lannister | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Zio Lino | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Clavin | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kitty’s Son | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Spinning Class | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 3 | Magic Beam | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Firestreak | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Christmas Jones | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Quiet Serenity | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1A | 14 | Dutchman’s Map | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 5 | Sterling Cat | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Snow Bella | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Kinda Clever | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Woman Enticed | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Spresso Mar | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 5 | 4 | Paynted by Nancy | 30.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Birdie Mae | 30.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Hopperetta | 30.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Beauxbatons | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cross of Valor | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Brief Affair | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Truly Thrilling | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pneumo Warrior | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lux | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Peace Before Chaos | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ada Girl Adaline | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | More Vino | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Magical Ways | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Create Trouble | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Barnstorming | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Nate the Great | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sundaeswithsandy | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Regal Kingdom | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Fully Booked | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sell Something | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Night Time Nap | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Bigtonten | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mucho Mojo | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 15 | Outrunner | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Drilling for Gold | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 7 | Dairago (FR) | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1A | 14 | Joe the Jet | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 9 | Tuff Luck | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 3 | El de Larry | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Lordship | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Sun Above | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Falfurrias | 20.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 |
| 5 | 4 | Copper Ghost | 20.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 |
| 7 | 6 | Straight to Water | 20.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 |
| 6 | 5 | Go Grey | 20.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Hanksdiviningrod | 30.00 | 15 | 28-1 |
| 9 | 8 | Upshot | 30.00 | 15 | 28-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Sticktothesystem | 30.00 | 15 | 28-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Wonder Mist | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mizner | 2.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Palacios | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Caseofthemondays | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | G Q Worthy | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Poor Peanut | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | R J’s Ice | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Laysen | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Flirty Bajan | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Surgical Precision | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Paco the Taco Man | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Roger Roger | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fear Nothing | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Outdoor Cat | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jolly by Golly | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Marital Trust | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sin Boldly | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Charlotte’s Cay | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Clearly Sophia | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Take Home Gold | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lucky Lis | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Music Box | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Boost | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.