Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | First Site | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tylos | 1.40 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Goodbye to Romance | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Medieval | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Uncleshane | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Barden | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Southeastern | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tough Guy Tony | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Anyway | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | B Provocateur | 8.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Life Is Gravy (IRE) | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Special Ops | 1.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Motorcade | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Caramel Chip | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Disarmed | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Art Fair | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Typhoon Fury | 10.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Free Dance | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lucas’s Mischief | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Three to G | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pop Art | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | No Alibi | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Agia Marina | 5.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Pretty Lavish (IRE) | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Thiene (IRE) | 4.50 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Starship Athena | 8.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Save Us Melania | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Soundbite | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Romantic Dancer | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | She’s Grand | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Devilish Grin | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fraudster | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Key Actress | 3.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ocean Ripple | 6.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Maizey Blue | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Magnum’s Microbrst | 3.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Beau Hill | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Paraiba Blue | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Katerina Ristova | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Hip Hop Dancer | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Illmatic | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fireballin | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Projectability | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mozambique | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Don Luis | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Liberty Rising | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Ducky Medwick | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Leo’s Reward | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Heavenly Light | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | North End Lady | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Red Burgundy | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Juliet On Approach | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Meg’s Foxy Grey | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Caradise | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hauntress | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Baby Sassicaia | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Bobby Jean | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Princess Ny | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Texas Holiday | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Big Air | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Higher Force | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Rollin in Dough | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Oat Coutour | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Willintoriskitall | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | City of Oscars | 3.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Alexis Zorba (GB) | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Master Freud | 5.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bite and Strike | 6.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Go Irish | 15.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Launch Control | 8.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Roar of the Crowd | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Kid Billy | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Boltage | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.