Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Hit Zero | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | J C’s Boys | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Regency Tale | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bold Fact | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Isaiah Fiftythree | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mister Monday Nite | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Good Man Dan | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Tax and Tags | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dr. Buzzy | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Big Tankness | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Without Borders | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Built by Khozan | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kohoutek | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Parkes | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Firmantown | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Great Heavens | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Boastfully Irish | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Benny Havens | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Claudee Boy | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jigger | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Lonesome Road | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Surfside Moon | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Derbyness | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Statesman | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hittheroadjak | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Majorca | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Vance Scholars | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Barzini | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Noah Chance | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hunter Joe | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Talented Man | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Noble Jon | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Point Liam | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Boss Is a Pal | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Turbulent Force | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tough Workout | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Transactional Guy | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Catahoula Moon | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Country Bumpkin | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Chimney Sweep | 4.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Red Sea | 5.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Se Thar Barr | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Golden Descent | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Typhoon Kuhn | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Garage Beers | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Kuhner | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 16 | 16 | Start Tappin | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Bright Time | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Golf Cart Ryder | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Fortune Hill | 20.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hard Stance | 20.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Long Straw | 30.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Guerrilla Magic | 30.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Really Ready | 30.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Sota Summers | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | American Tapit | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gum | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Daring Grace (GB) | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Toocoolforschool | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Raisin Weekend | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Resort (FR) | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Nicksie | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | La Devita | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hay Grace Brennan | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Kimmy Got Glasses | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | King Size | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | McCullough | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Naptown | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Light Mood (FR) | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sky’s Not Falling | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Primed to Go | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Noted | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Hold Out | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Sardis | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Wow Whata Party | 30.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Frosty the Giant | 30.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Wine Collector | 30.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cadeau d’Argent | 30.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Miss Preakness S.) – Miss Preakness S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Little Miss Curlin | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lights Out Leni | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Peach Tie | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tessellate | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Victory Music | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Late Night Text | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Getting Closer | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Hilltop S.) – Hilltop S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Ultimate Love | 0.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Use Me (IRE) | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Coach Mazzula | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Brat Pack | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Unmiztaken | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | I Love Giraffes | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Siouxse | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allaire Dupont Distaff S.) – Allaire Dupont Distaff S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Margie’s Intention | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Queen Azteca | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Complexity Jane | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ourdaydreaminggirl | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Waveless | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Low Country Magic | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Too Many Kisses | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Late Nite Call | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (The Very One S.) – The Very One S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Saturday Flirt | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lost and Found | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sporting Lady | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sunna | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Les Reys (FR) | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Somnium | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Strutsherstuff | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Julee’s Legacy | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Malibu Hooch | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Pimlico Special S.) – Pimlico Special S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Navajo Warrior | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Yo Daddy | 3.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Maclean’s Rook | 4.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Awesome Aaron | 4.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Duke of Duval | 5.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | San Siro | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Xcellent Start | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 13 (George E. Mitchell Black-eyed Susan S.) – George E. Mitchell Black-eyed Susan S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Jumping the Gun | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | My Miss Mo | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Braken Poppa | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | A. P.’s Girl | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Holly’s Holiday | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Majestic Lucia | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Haute Diva | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ivy Girl | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Savor It | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Fulton Gal | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 14 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Bala de Plata | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tartabull | 3.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Close the Gate | 3.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Street Party | 4.50 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Higher Sense | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | No More Calls | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Make It Quick | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.