Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Something Stronger | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Should’ve | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | She Wants War | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | J Z’s Last Schance | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lilies N Paradise | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Stepping Stones | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Secret Hideaway (IRE) | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Rojo Rita | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Grade A | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Viva Vienne | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Just a Minute | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Miss Lonelle | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Jerseys Parade | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Cotillard | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Bourbon Notes | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | If If If | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Movie Night | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Angel From Marin | 20.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Headspin | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Thirteen Roses | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Fashion Quest | 30.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Epic Proud Mary | 15.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Winning Matters | 8.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Anesty | 20.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Audra | 6.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Poise | 8.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Lockdownyourtown | 15.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Teatonic | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Couldyoubeloved | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mint Driven | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fourfiftyseven | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Little Dixie | 2.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Wits and Wagers | 3.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fasta Lavista Baby | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Sharons Pharoah | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Chambersville | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Doctrine | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Winter Holiday | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Six O Clock | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mischief Ride | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Patrol Squad Six | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Da Prince Is Right | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Brave Force | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dr. Agne | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Shadow Coast | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Slider | 6.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tiger’s Legacy | 2.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cool Cowboy | 3.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | League of Legends | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Colonel Caliente | 3.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Paynt Ya Later | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | For Love and Honor | 4.50 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | She’s Lookin Lucky | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bourbon Memory | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Settling Storm | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | La Marinera | 50.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Smiling Ellie | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Shotgun Wedding | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | She’s All Charm | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | In the Stars | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Miwa (GB) | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Long Ago (GB) | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Paul’s Recovery | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Pelican Bay | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ur Benja | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sartorial | 1.60 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | King Lee | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Prince J J | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Champagne Liberal | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Louisville S.) – Louisville S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Burnham Square | 0.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Freedom’s Way | 30.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Echo Lane | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Anegada | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Vote No | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dancin in Da’nile | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Track Phantom | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Hymn | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Keewaydin | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Accretive | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Can’t Hush This | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Goodasiwonswas | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Two Eagles River | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Dive Bomber | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Kalahari Dreams | 5.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | I Got Game | 20.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Keep It Easy | 12.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Money Supply | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | I’m McDreamy | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Ganaas | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Big Gain | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Legitimate | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Googol Joke | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | McAfee | 1.40 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Midway Munny | 30.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Spirit of a Walkon | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Thrilla | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Global Quote | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Bourbon Flight | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Non Conforming | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.