Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Should’ve | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | She Wants War | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Secret Hideaway (IRE) | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Rojo Rita | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Grade A | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 13 | 13 | If If If | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Something Stronger | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Cotillard | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Stepping Stones | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Just a Minute | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lilies N Paradise | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 16 | 16 | Jerseys Parade | 20.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 |
| 6 | 6 | J Z’s Last Schance | 20.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Viva Vienne | 20.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Bourbon Notes | 20.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Miss Lonelle | 30.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Movie Night | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Teatonic | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Audra | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Winning Matters | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Poise | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Headspin | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Epic Proud Mary | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Lockdownyourtown | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Thirteen Roses | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Anesty | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Angel From Marin | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Fashion Quest | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Couldyoubeloved | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Little Dixie | 2.50 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Wits and Wagers | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mint Driven | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fourfiftyseven | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fasta Lavista Baby | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Dr. Agne | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sharons Pharoah | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Chambersville | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Patrol Squad Six | 6.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Doctrine | 6.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Winter Holiday | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Da Prince Is Right | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Brave Force | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Six O Clock | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mischief Ride | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Tiger’s Legacy | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cool Cowboy | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Colonel Caliente | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Shadow Coast | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Slider | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | League of Legends | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | In the Stars | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | For Love and Honor | 4.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | She’s Lookin Lucky | 5.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Smiling Ellie | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Miwa (GB) | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Long Ago (GB) | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bourbon Memory | 12.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Paynt Ya Later | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Shotgun Wedding | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Settling Storm | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 11 | 11 | She’s All Charm | 30.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | La Marinera | 50.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Sartorial | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Paul’s Recovery | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pelican Bay | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Champagne Liberal | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | King Lee | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Prince J J | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ur Benja | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Louisville S.) – Louisville S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Burnham Square | 0.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Echo Lane | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Anegada | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dancin in Da’nile | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Vote No | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Freedom’s Way | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Hymn | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Money Supply | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kalahari Dreams | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Can’t Hush This | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Two Eagles River | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Keewaydin | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Track Phantom | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Accretive | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Dive Bomber | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Keep It Easy | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Goodasiwonswas | 15.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 |
| 1 | 1 | I’m McDreamy | 20.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
| 7 | 7 | I Got Game | 20.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Ganaas | 20.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | McAfee | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Big Gain | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bourbon Flight | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Non Conforming | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Legitimate | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Spirit of a Walkon | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Googol Joke | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Thrilla | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Global Quote | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Midway Munny | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.