Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Legal Heir | 1.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Monumental | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Don Rebelde | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bako Country | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | My Eyes On You | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bucks Action | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tiz All That | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | War Artist | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Whiskyginandbrandy | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ghazaaly | 1.60 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Clouseau | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bowtie Boys | 8.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Coolwind | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Shangrilama (IRE) | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lady Rider | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Invincible Molly (GB) | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Special Flower | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Oveta’s Hobby | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Blessed Angel | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Headed for Om | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Ballyhooligan | 1.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Grandisimo | 2.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tee N Off | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Last Call Paul | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Irish Element | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Naftis | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Grazed | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Frank Bullitt | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hothead | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Miles Finch | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jimmy Winkfield | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mio Bambino | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Keep Dancin Nick | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Geezer | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Twisted Humor | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cammy’s Girl | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Conquest Sue | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Vronaway | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Play for Me | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Can You Dream | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Palace Mischief | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Little Originaire | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | City Exile (GB) | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Packs a Wahlop | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Baldoro | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lahaina Flavor | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Midnight Strike | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | King of Clubs | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Re Armed Jon | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | El Rey Rey | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Tate Batz | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dame It Dani | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lively Girl | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Omemgee | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | She’s Back | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Waiting for My Cue | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Backstage Drama | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Susie’s Loaded | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Mizdirection S.) – Mizdirection S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Queen Maxima | 0.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Spirited Boss | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Amorita | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Certitude (FR) | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Princesa Moche (PER) | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Marian Cross (GB) | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Antifona (FR) | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Candy Bar | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rosie Jeeks | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Tis Sunrise | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | All in the Game | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | First Light | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Jacklyn Lucas | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Unusual Craving | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Melba Montgomery | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Big Miss | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Judy Lynn Starr | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Genuine Grace | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Little Gator | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.