Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Egyptian | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Come Full Circle | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | New York Scrappy | 1.80 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Resilient Hero | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Solomini’s World | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | First Pitch | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Iron Max | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | George Briggs | 0.80 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Outsource | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cable Ready | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sanzio | 30.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rock the Weekend | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Chips and Fish | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Up for an Oscar | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fateful Lightning | 2.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Languid | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Joy Division | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Teutonic | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ruby’s Trouble | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Copious | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Into the Light | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Brzina | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Shadyside | 10.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Malu | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Short Shift | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sabby Sunset | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Santagata | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cararra | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Citana (ARG) | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Capturing | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | I’m Mo Joke | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sweet Brown Sugar | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Pandora’s Gift (IRE) | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Without Cause | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Di’s Surprise | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mz Big Bucks | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Atarah | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Twenty One Red | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dreams of Rome | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Deacon Blues | 15.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Manor Park | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Big Frosty | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Foto | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Nonno Joe | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sicilian Dancer | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Blue Pill | 30.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Probe | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Vitalize | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Richies Love | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Trail Blaze | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Savvylicious | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Seeker’s Hope | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sequential | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Flash of Chaos | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Run Quiet Run Fast | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Calling Card | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Thirteen G’s | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | The Obliterator | 3.50 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Favorite Day | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Moment’s Notice | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Saint Margaret | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Charlottesuniverse | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Garden of Grace | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Aperitif | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Avery’s Wonderland | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | No Need to Panic | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Emergency Nine | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Jayme’s Turn | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Saratoga Daisy | 20.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Lake Ariel | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Copper Caduceus | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Funny Gal | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.