Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Vino Gray | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bigshot Ness | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Notamistake | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | World Wide Web | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lookin At Mac | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Chuck’s Law | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ad Majora | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tongue Tied | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Walk Away Joe | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Amity Road | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Book Runner | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Batter Up Bud | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Thirsty Pappy | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Admiral’s Wave | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Good Reunion | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Rowsie Express | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Date Night Kisses | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Battling Time | 3.50 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Obstinate | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Classy Miss | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Society Ball | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Waitwaitdonttellme | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Banjo | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Prairie Dunes | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Star Man Bob | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Compa | 5.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sergeant Sinatra | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lucchesi | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Scudetto | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Gwen to Win | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Honor Our Country | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bective Abbey | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mighty Lindsey | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Spoonbill | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Extrasexyzqteepeye | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Always in Play | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Tested | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Play the Gray | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Halftime Show | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Regalpains | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | King Deivys | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Keeping the Faith | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Donnelly’s Hollow | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Amedeus Music | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fromanothamutha | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tricolour | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Union Lights | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Real Conviction | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cattin | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Checkitup | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | I Can Do Magic | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Trotsky | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Complex Music | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Captain Fancy | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Harrigan | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | My Imagination | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Iron Sharpens Iron | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Smile Maker | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Who’s the King | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Group Ticket | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Profound | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Devil’s Cay | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Prince Colton | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hey Porter | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Freedom’s Echo | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Alchemism | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Punch and Judy | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Legal Lightning | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Anita Glassofwine | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Thirtyninered | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Emmyaswifty | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Stay Loyal | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Warrior Bunny Zee | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Polar Magic | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.
