Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Chartage | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Marchin Into April | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Winning Song | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Just Cheesy | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pure Realization | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Spherification | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sunny Magic | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Coach Clint | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Mona L | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Astrid | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Royalties Riches | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Midnight Flight | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sandy Girl | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lady Catalina | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sugar Princess | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Alyvia’s Lil Girl | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Gingersayschill | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Onmywaytosavthday | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Give Her Another | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Persuasive | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Pittore d’Oro | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Courageous Fergie | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Keystormrising | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Center Stage | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Boss Like Beth | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ambitiously Placed | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tariba Dream | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Goldcrest | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Peach Perfect | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Zoning Order | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mollewantacracker | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Goldieness | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sonadora Girl | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sundria | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Never Sway | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sheza Bernardini | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Faytastic | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Browneyedvalentine | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Paddy’s Gift | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fuhgeddaboudit | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bright Kohana | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Solemn Oath | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | So Swell | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Gia’s Fuego | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Creme Caramel | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bon Fire Diva | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Ortho Star | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Asmodeus | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bourbon Aficionado | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hey Buddy | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fully Committed | 6.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mr. Mendelssohn | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Save a Prayer | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Au Some Warrior | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Skinny Joey | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Harp’s Hot Corner | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Borracho | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Transcendental | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Nancy Made My Day | 5.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Twentyeighttothree | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cojelo Pa Ti | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Romantic Gamble | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Cadet Corps | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ninetyprcentmaddie | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Speedyness | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Counterspy | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lonesome Boy | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Veeson | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Big Boys Answer | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Fight Fiercely | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Adios Jersey | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Maliblue | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Twenty One Kid | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bad Advice | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cisco Kid | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Capital Conquest | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Onlygodcanjudgeme | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jerry’s Turn | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.
