Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Town’s Warrior | 0.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Martini Martin | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Long Astride | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Azure Sky | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mogalu | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Casino Night | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Dark Dutchess | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dissolute | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Style to Follow | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bella Prima | 1.20 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Keep It Safe | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Nanisca | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Awesome Pic | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Miguel’s Belle | 1.80 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | The Feisty One | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Foxy Lady | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Glows in the Dark | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sheherhers | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Ben’s Hero | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Risk Factor | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Guardian Prince | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Minister | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Paralegal | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Federal Exchange | 10.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | God With Us | 6.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mr Ramirez | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Sassafrassness | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Candy Talking | 1.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sina | 8.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Levigata | 15.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Truthorconsequence | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Moon Cache | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Spencer Tiara | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Castagna | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Chelsea Wall | 1.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Aggro | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Classic Ballad | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Ade | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ariana Valentina | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Spikezone | 1.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Twisted Ride | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | St. Jude | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bold Diversion | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cybertime | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Bump N Run | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Gators Reign | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Quahog Republic | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Spurious | 6.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Party On Rufus | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Spinemjohnny | 4.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bodine | 3.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.