Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Up the Creek | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sweet Bebsi | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Vicki Rose | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Spotaway | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Carol’s Melody | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ashkenazi | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Shining Moment | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Express Success | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Silver Magic | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bee Crazy | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Washton | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Storm Diva | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gee Tee | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Let Her Fly | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bit Tipsy | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Estardotoo | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 5 | 5 | High Class Broad | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Great Escape | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Army Officer | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bourbon’s Fault | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | C F V Bullet | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Twirling Troillet | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tres Soles | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bloodline | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | You Ain’t Poppn | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Coastal Breeze | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Livehappy | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mi Dinero | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Spinning Pride | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Smols | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Waco | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dr Fenn | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Beautiful Twice | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Rando | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Thatsalrightmama | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Danzig’s Dora | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Taqdeer | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ashes and Diamonds | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Spankerboom | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Higgins Boat | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Exact Estimate | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Honky Tonk Highway | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Beef Winslow | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Frosty Indulgence | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Sketch (IRE) | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Morunning | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Otago | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rigel | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | In a Jam | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Coco Cool | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Saint in the City | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | In Scope | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Al Ghadeer | 5.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Wedelia | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Aegis | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Bodacious Bay | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Fast Gun | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Flash of Freedom | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Charted Destiny | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Island Flower | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Miss Complicated | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Mancuso | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Babysitter | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | She’s Our Girl | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Wonzee Weather | 20.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 |
| 16 | 16 | Daring Move | 20.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Sonhador | 30.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Verifire | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Floodlites | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tough Catch | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Harrodsburg | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Thoughtthatcounts | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Furio | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Gene and Jude | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | The Dover Specter | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Snare | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mary’s Boy Bolt | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Utopian | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Razorcat | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Garryowen | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lucky Mischief | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Makutu | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tiz Freedom | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Taunting | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sound Cause | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Survivin’onaprayer | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Best Known Secret | 30.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.