Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Nineteen Hundred | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Helado | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Shut Up Man | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Uncle Singh | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Leapin Ty Man | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Surprise Road Trip | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Getoutyourwallet | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | The Kween’s King | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Jamesons Chalk | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tiz Happy | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sand Paynter | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Charley Pride | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dawn Strategy | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Denali Lightning | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Singing Emma | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Motown Dynamic | 1.60 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Shawk’s Lil Mia | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mercy Warren | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Plum Irish | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Smooth Pebble | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Battle Cruiser | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Flipping Fish | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Chun Money | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Caution Cardinal | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | McMusic | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Stunning Bruno | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Aux Arcs | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Our Cornerstone | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Hawks Creek | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Hey | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Impacto | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | I Got No Munny | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bolt Forty Five | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | All About Mischief | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | River Ridge | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hooked On Dreams | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | American Xperiment | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Lucky Bird | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Answer to Adelyn | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ritaville | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Chirpy Chicks | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Risky Mistress | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Clearly Clover | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Interconnect | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | U Bet Betty | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Sober Someday | 30.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Time for Won More | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Enticing Kitty | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bye Bye Time | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Succession | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Redneckerthanyou | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Baxter | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Skalkaho | 6.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Native Hellraiser | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Red Romance | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Iowa Club | 5.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Annual Budget | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.