Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Fiveclocksomewhere | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Pippa’s Noncents | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Caprichosainfront | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Violet’s Charm | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Eimear | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Irish Coco | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | They Got Curry | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Humoresque | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Java Tales | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | High Heel Native | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | No Need to Ask | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Ida B | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Formaggio | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Panchita | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | J D Factor | 1.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Freedom Road | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Take the Pledge | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | War Master | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Renewing Vows | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Secret Zipper | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Bourbon State | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Last Romance | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Montauk Point | 4.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rob the Rich | 8.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | The Best Distance | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Maximus Magic | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Broderick | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Paynter’s Prodigy | 2.50 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Guard of Honour | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Magic Mikey | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Palace Revolt | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Damage | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | First Officer | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Knockout Guy | 8.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jake’s Affection | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Striking Sparks | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Styner | 4.00 | 1.9 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Good as He Gets | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Secret Treasure | 10.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Anchises | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ascendance | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hawkstone | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Catatumbo | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Our Notion | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Reckless | 2.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Empire of Glory | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Higher Sense | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sioux Empire | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ball of Fire | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Very Volatile | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Rickie’s Kin | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hard Freeze | 1.80 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Farooq | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gallant Creek | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Magic Bay | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cap’n Cats | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.