Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 98 | Celestial Skies | 0.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | America’s Mark | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Christel Clean | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Kikuride | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Goodnight Nellie | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 14 | 13 | Cashed | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Long Mayshe Reign | 10.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Pure Chaos | 12.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tam’s Little Angel | 20.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Idessia | 20.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Neezer Dalton | 20.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
| 13 | 12 | Pavel’s Etoile | 20.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pavel Is Appealing | 20.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Chilly Philly | 20.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Free Closer | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Thirsty Caitlin | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | I’m Smoken Hot | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lihue Princess | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Potica | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sauced Up | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Lipstick Lies | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Babys Gone Country | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Quick Up | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Pay One More Dream | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Glorys Morning | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Soo Bronx | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Thor’s Echo S.) – Thor’s Echo S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Big City Lights | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lonesome Stew | 2.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Book Smart | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pure Madness | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Uncle Chilly | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Drop Um | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Thirsty Rebel | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Fran’s Valentine S.) – Fran’s Valentine S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Grand Slam Smile | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Om N Joy | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Take Another Card | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | O K Rose | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Prancingthruparis | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sunset Grazen | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Quick Kate | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mars Magic | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Trojan Mafia | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Star of Delhi | 3.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | My Man Joe Roldan | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Carl Erskine | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Stage Run | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mr Akin | 10.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Son of Oneeyedmama | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fire Chief | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Crystal Water S.) – Crystal Water S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Flyover | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | On the Whim | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cali Cat | 6.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Call Me Sir | 8.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Prince Dolce | 8.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Santa Barbarian | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Canani | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Stamp My Passport | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Curlin’s Kaos | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Melair S.) – Melair S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Mohaven | 0.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Run With Liberty | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Holdthatrainbow | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Troisieme Etoile | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cecilia Street | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lino’s Angel | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Good Golly Dolly | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Snow Chief S. Presented By City National Bank) – Snow Chief S. Presented By City National Bank
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | He’s a Knockout | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Unrivaled Time | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ventry Strand | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Third Beer | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Trump Era | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Scatalotadingdong | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | John Metcalfe | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Smoovin Saturday | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Wave With Envy | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Fionello | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | King’s Ride | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Known Idea | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Start the Ride | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cowboy Mike | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Majestic Palisades | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Sir Percival | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Spiritual Advisor | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | The Gypsy Cowboy | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | J T’s Watch | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Flash of Lightning | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Gaines | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Oracle of Paradise | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Robin Olds | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Booked Clubhouse | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Throwthefirstpunch | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Doing Time | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lucky Sniper | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tight Dally | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Hungover | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Off the Bench | 30.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Big Vengeance | 30.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Farmer Tom | 30.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Practical Blame | 30.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.