Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Rebelious | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | By Decreed | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Miracle Mack | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tiz Wicked Strong | 2.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cloudy Holiday | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Boca Guy | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | High Class Lady | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Conniption | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Crimson Tapestry | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Braxton’s Girl | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bye Bye Time | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Holly Springs | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Korda | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Mischievous Bria | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Shezawildstorm | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Skyboom | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ourpeppermintcandy | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ellll E | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Beautifly Troubl’d | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | She’s a Cyclone | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dean’s Day | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Regan’s Twist | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Muffin Thief | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Miss Happy | 15.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Hurrikane Warning | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Olympic Flame | 20.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Foxton | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tracy’s Mischief | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mizz Relevant | 4.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Prancin Inthe Dark | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Aloha Baby | 6.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Divine Celina | 10.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kiki Krazy | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Appealing Addie | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | American Missy | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Jackie Sparrow | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Esperanza’s Spirit | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | My Angel Marie | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lite It Up Louie | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Chitoz’s Blur | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Whiskey Drinker | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Flat Out Chrome | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Plain Flat Out | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mo Sense | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Band’s Free Spirit | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Burn Indy Burn | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Toms Prospector | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Bluegrass Tap | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Palace Rock | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Five Charlie | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Razor Wire | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Madethedean’slist | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Edgy Lover | 20.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Orphan Sandy | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.