Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Tiz Wicked Strong | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | By Decreed | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rebelious | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Miracle Mack | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Boca Guy | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cloudy Holiday | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Conniption | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | High Class Lady | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Braxton’s Girl | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bye Bye Time | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Crimson Tapestry | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Korda | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Holly Springs | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Mischievous Bria | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Beautifly Troubl’d | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Shezawildstorm | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ellll E | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ourpeppermintcandy | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Skyboom | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Muffin Thief | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mizz Relevant | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | She’s a Cyclone | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dean’s Day | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Foxton | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Regan’s Twist | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Hurrikane Warning | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Miss Happy | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tracy’s Mischief | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Olympic Flame | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Appealing Addie | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Prancin Inthe Dark | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kiki Krazy | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Aloha Baby | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | American Missy | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Divine Celina | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Jackie Sparrow | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | My Angel Marie | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lite It Up Louie | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Esperanza’s Spirit | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mo Sense | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Whiskey Drinker | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Chitoz’s Blur | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Flat Out Chrome | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Plain Flat Out | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Burn Indy Burn | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Toms Prospector | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Band’s Free Spirit | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Razor Wire | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Bluegrass Tap | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Five Charlie | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Palace Rock | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Madethedean’slist | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Orphan Sandy | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Edgy Lover | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.