Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Louis the Champ | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Conn Smythe (GB) | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | You’re So Lucky | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sol de Verano | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Miah Said | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Blondina’s Boy | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Big Lew | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Idealsanddreams | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Switchin’ to Glide | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Zip to Zap | 1.80 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Common Canter | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Halcon Negro | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hard Reload | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | We Come in Peace | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | El Alacran | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lazio | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Endrick | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fifty B M G | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Highland Life | 2.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bennys Jets | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Lady Izzy | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Got a Complex | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Totally in Charge | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Arya’s Quest | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Pretty Liza | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Wunhappy Wabbit | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Quinns Silent Roar | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Imyourmedicineman | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Decadent Danish | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Paradise Perfect | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Don Ique | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Allbetsareoff | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Somekinda Mischief | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Who Goes There | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Noburu | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Society’s Storm | 12.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Maker’s Flatter | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Auntie’s Bambino | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Keynote Speaker | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tiz the Power | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Bright Angel (IRE) | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Proudly Canadian | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Wonderful Quality | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Niigon’s Law | 4.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lover Boy Mo | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Coburg | 10.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Willful Warrior | 1.20 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fin Del Mundo | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Kamasi | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | One More Brew | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bachelor Pad | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Posturing | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hemlo Gold | 2.50 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Uncaptured Moment | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | This Dude a Breeze | 3.50 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | El Cohete | 4.50 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Rapid Grey | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ciunas | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Paynes Spirit | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Next Pitch | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Chambers | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Countryboysurvive | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Gone With Duwyn | 4.50 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bankingonamiracle | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | El Capo | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Will Win | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Buium | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Apeldoorn | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Wembley Avenue | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Battle Warning | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Proud Painter | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Jolted | 15.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Lake Nasser | 10.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mystic Path | 12.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Very Special | 12.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hard Right | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.