Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Lex | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Docsgotallthecandy | 2.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | What It Tiz | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Southern Dream | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Run My Card | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Scudetto | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Racket | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Bloody Colors Wave | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mildoon | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Miles of Smiles | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Don’t Listen | 4.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Shetalkstomuch | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Burner Account | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Wanna Go Home | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Silver City Kitty | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Allenhurst | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Flaming Eyes | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sweet Distraction | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | K D Kakes | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Midlaner | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kick Startness | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Liberty Star | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Diamond Heist | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cojelo Pa Ti | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Biagio | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Tavern Time | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | The Tire Man | 3.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | No Mor Stones | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Extrasexymcsteemee | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | It’s Authentic | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Coach Rudy | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Grande Felino | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Alastar | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rebellution | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Petey Motto | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Its All Gravy | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Supernova Dream | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mi Hermano | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Slew of Fortune | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Quick to Judge | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Son of Thor | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Macaw | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Amazing Woo | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cobble Road | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fromanothamutha | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Carbonite | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Chineseiam | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Divine Seeker | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Peacefulezfeeling | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Shubagail | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Maximus Angelicus | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Rock Me Gently | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Avatude | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Western Woman | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jump a Fox | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Imperio Azteca | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Golden Dancer | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Be My Queen | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Miss Jones | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Wild Girl | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Quivira Crane | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mila Rose | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Celtic Tiger | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Charm of the Song | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 2 | 2 | You Know Me | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.
