Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Real Talented | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Majestic Tiger | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Azure Sky | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pierce Elevated | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hardy Choice | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tubtimsiam | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Crabcakes N Beer | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Dream Eagle | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Good Golly Msfolly | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dina’s Touch | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Capricorn Belle | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | All Fun N Games | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sister T | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lizzy Liz | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Reverend Moon | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Capt. Candy | 2.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Uniwinner | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Prom Knight | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Russian Hammer | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Let’s Have a Party | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Magic Spin | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mogalu | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Win Street | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mentor | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bigshot Ness | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Flamenco Star | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Work Smarter | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Thirsted | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Capitaine | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Arch Competitor | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Battle Lou | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rebel Prince | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Broad Run | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Soo Handsome | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Power by Eight | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sir Lomax | 30.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Kerness K | 0.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Silver Slugger | 1.20 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Daufuskie Island | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Heldish | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | He’s Side Eyed | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Night Preacher | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Voluntary | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Rocker Roller | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Magic Beam | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Companion | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Khokela Miss | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Themis | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Will of Victory | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ms Sophistication | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Intrepids Fantasy | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sassy Sangria | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Redheadedstepchild | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Minister Confessor | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dutchman’s Map | 30.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Intrepid Mo | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Especially | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Pink Ruby | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Old Bay | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tower Twenty Two | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Disco Rules | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Coal Mine | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Baha Secret | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Foxy Lady | 2.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Warriors Jewel | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Compass Fire | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | True Sunshine | 10.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mabee Luckynwild | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.