Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | La Belle Vie | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Vissino | 2.50 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Big Falls | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Trim Castle | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Baytown Da Vinci | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Money Man Mike | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gates of Eden | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Zee R One | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Social Hour | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gamblers Tail | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Timing Difference | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Attersee | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Free Advice | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Politics | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Ez Miss Sassy | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Exile | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Peak Perspective | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lead by Example | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Epic Reign | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Luxor Magic | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Pacemaker | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | By Her Decree | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Prince of Light | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Intuitive Wisdom | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Arabian Power | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Gentleman Jim | 5.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Desert Fox | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Captain Mercury | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cptbobsbtwentynine | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Barracks | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Boss’ Deed | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fawcett | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 16 | 16 | Thespian | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Ando | 20.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Soho Jimmy | 20.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Blazing | 30.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
| 6 | 6 | El Ramundo | 30.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
| 14 | 14 | West of East Texas | 30.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Awesome Ruta | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Clooney | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Carolo Rapido | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Empire Builder | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Papa Yo | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Fountain Run | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pappy’s Revenge | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Excel Calculator | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Calycanthus | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Feminism | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Where Luck Lives | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 11 | 11 | French Blue | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Woodstock | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Our Two Girls | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Spa Prospector | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kayla’s Komet | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | If If If | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Valala | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Front Runnin | 30.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Storm Cloud Rising | 50.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Murdock | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Moon Sniper | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mischievous Rogue | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Eakly | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | We’re in Trouble | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Camp Hale | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Our Starry Night | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Banned for Life | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sweet Dani Boy | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Star’s Image | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Tarantino | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hogie the Player | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Surf City | 30.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Nightmare Fuel | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | In for a Spin | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Will Believe | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Silvertown | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Getaholdayourself | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cloud Number Nine | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Enticing Moves | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Frosty for Ever | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cusp of Mischief | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Shidoni | 30.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Chiquita’s Way | 50.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.