Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | La Belle Vie | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Vissino | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gates of Eden | 20.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Money Man Mike | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Trim Castle | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Zee R One | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Baytown Da Vinci | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Big Falls | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Attersee | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Social Hour | 1.40 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Timing Difference | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Free Advice | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gamblers Tail | 2.50 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Politics | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Peak Perspective | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Epic Reign | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ez Miss Sassy | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | By Her Decree | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Luxor Magic | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Pacemaker | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Exile | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Lead by Example | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Prince of Light | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cptbobsbtwentynine | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Gentleman Jim | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Arabian Power | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Captain Mercury | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | El Ramundo | 30.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Boss’ Deed | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Intuitive Wisdom | 3.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Soho Jimmy | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Blazing | 30.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Ando | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fawcett | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Barracks | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Desert Fox | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Thespian | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | West of East Texas | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Awesome Ruta | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Clooney | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Carolo Rapido | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Pappy’s Revenge | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Excel Calculator | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Empire Builder | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Calycanthus | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Papa Yo | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Fountain Run | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Feminism | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | French Blue | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Where Luck Lives | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Woodstock | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Spa Prospector | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Kayla’s Komet | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Valala | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Storm Cloud Rising | 50.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Our Two Girls | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Front Runnin | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | If If If | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Murdock | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Banned for Life | 12.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | We’re in Trouble | 8.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Camp Hale | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Eakly | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mischievous Rogue | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Our Starry Night | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Tarantino | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Surf City | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Sweet Dani Boy | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Moon Sniper | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Hogie the Player | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Star’s Image | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Nightmare Fuel | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Getaholdayourself | 10.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Enticing Moves | 15.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cusp of Mischief | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cloud Number Nine | 12.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Silvertown | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Will Believe | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Frosty for Ever | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Shidoni | 30.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Chiquita’s Way | 50.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | In for a Spin | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.
