Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Yodel E. A. Who | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Book Runner | 8.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Vanzzy | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Winooski | 12.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Collection Day | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Whiting Field | 10.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Long Astride | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Laughing Fit | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Luminous Secret | 1.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Miti Fast Flower | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Beachgrass | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Chacarera | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Recognize Me | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Wicked Kitten | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | C C Girl | 8.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Channel Loop | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Chill Bean | 0.80 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fontina | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Turbo Millie | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Amorica | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Beale Street Boy | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Citrine | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Slobberknocker | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | My Pal Bill | 30.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Pure Octane | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Love Yourself | 2.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Candy A. P. | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Nostromo | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Whaleaxe | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Road Runner | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Mr Skinny | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Wood Lily | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Missy’s Map | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Little Carley | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Stylish Gem | 1.60 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sweet Summer Love | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Uptown Art | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Rules for Three | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Best Worst Idea | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lilliput | 6.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ritz On Broadway | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Synergism | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bidibidibombom | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Heaven’s Promise | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | War Madam | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | American Select | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Songmaker | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fabia | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Saucy Six | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | The Beach Goes On | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Thirst for Hope | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Soul Dance (GB) | 1.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Ball of Fire | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Santinni | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ready as Ever | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Impressiveness | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ice Shot | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Micanopy | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Half a League | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Academy | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Falfurrias | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Smuggler’s Gold | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Wyoming Class | 2.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bolt From Above | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Sobieski | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Late Call | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Double Neat | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Street Rockin | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Edgerton | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Copper Ghost | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | El Tinmarin | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Izzy’s Rock Star | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Adios Senoritas | 1.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Run Chachy Run | 8.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rio Oso | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mom Esterina | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Code Name Maisie | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.