Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Yodel E. A. Who | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Collection Day | 2.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Vanzzy | 4.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Book Runner | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Whiting Field | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Winooski | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Long Astride | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Luminous Secret | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Laughing Fit | 1.80 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Recognize Me | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Miti Fast Flower | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Chacarera | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Beachgrass | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Chill Bean | 0.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Channel Loop | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Wicked Kitten | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | C C Girl | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Amorica | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Turbo Millie | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fontina | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Love Yourself | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Beale Street Boy | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Slobberknocker | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Whaleaxe | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Road Runner | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Citrine | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Nostromo | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Pure Octane | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Candy A. P. | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | My Pal Bill | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mr Skinny | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Stylish Gem | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Wood Lily | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lilliput | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Rules for Three | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sweet Summer Love | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Missy’s Map | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Best Worst Idea | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Uptown Art | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Little Carley | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ritz On Broadway | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Soul Dance (GB) | 1.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Synergism | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 11 | 11 | American Select | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fabia | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Heaven’s Promise | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | The Beach Goes On | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Saucy Six | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bidibidibombom | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Songmaker | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Thirst for Hope | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | War Madam | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Impressiveness | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ready as Ever | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Santinni | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Micanopy | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ice Shot | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ball of Fire | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Half a League | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Wyoming Class | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Double Neat | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Edgerton | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Academy | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Copper Ghost | 6.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Late Call | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Street Rockin | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Falfurrias | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | El Tinmarin | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Bolt From Above | 15.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Smuggler’s Gold | 15.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Sobieski | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Adios Senoritas | 1.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Izzy’s Rock Star | 1.60 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rio Oso | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mom Esterina | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Run Chachy Run | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Code Name Maisie | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.