Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Redial | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hondo Crouch | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fight Back | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Silver I Am | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | What a Gift | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Desert Kat | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Wolf Hill | 0.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bad Manners | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Apples Y Peaches | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Daring Pursuit | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Medjugorje | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Rollinwithpolan | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Joker Went Wild | 1.80 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Original One | 3.50 | 1.9 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Essential Nation | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | One Step Beyond | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Sagunto | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fair Question | 2.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Need Mo Diamonds | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Whiz Kidd | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mansa Musa | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Quality Gold | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Omission | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Holdthatrainbow | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | What’s a Good Name | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Goje | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Midnight Cowgirl | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Kool Mariah | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Final Table Lady | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jasmina | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Proud Racer | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Danzing Wild Cat | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ride the Tiger | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dane the Great | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sunset Ride | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Big Reflections | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Big Notion | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Papa Santos | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | I’m Otter Here | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mysterious Husband | 3.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sneaking Candy | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Savage Warden | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Irish Prophet | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | King of Dragons | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mici’s Express | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Cipriani | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | A. Z. Wildcat | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Our Moonlight | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lubie’s Music | 5.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Confidentiality | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Musical Song | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Humidity | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | G’oro | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Intuitivebynature | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Melba Montgomery | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Latin Air | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Mo Cheeky | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Spun Sweet | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Genuine Grace | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Chef Kate | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Smokem Hot Girl | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fancy Danzing | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.
