Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Battis Grove | 0.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Belle Amour | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tammy’s Kiss | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Zengraya | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cue Pixie Dust | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Island Barbie | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Butterfly Jasmine | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Run Classic | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Skyro | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Badge of War | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Oscar Eclipse | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Attache | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tuskegee Airmen | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bernin Hot | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Couperin | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Silent Way | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Direct Strike | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Bourbon Dream | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Victory Corps | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Brave Pilot | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Oso de Oro | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Money Man | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Boylston | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Reb | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Desert Fox | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Mashallah | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 11 | 11 | La Rascasse | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Passerine | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Betty’s Pearl | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Soaring High | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Scot’s Law | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Majestical | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Love and Trust | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Measure | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Smell the Lilies | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Take Charge Macy | 30.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Essential Coffee | 30.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Miss Call | 30.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Audubon S.) – Audubon S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Touch of Fire | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Zeppelin | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Thousandsticks | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | My Favorite Bird | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tiernanogue | 8.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Kravitz | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mr Mo’s Magic | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Serac | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Zihnal | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Baytown Dreamer | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Shawnee S.) – Shawnee S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Splendora | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Majestic Oops | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Immersive | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gin Gin | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Miss Justify | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Too Much Kiki | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Take Charge Omaha | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Old Forester Mint Julep S.) – Old Forester Mint Julep S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Medoro | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Proctor Street | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pin Up Betty | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sweet Treasure | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Favorite Memory (GB) | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | In the Stars | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Charlene’s Dream | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Vina Arana (IRE) | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Stylish Sue | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Aristides S.) – Aristides S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Roll On Big Joe | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cornucopian | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mad House | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Madaket Road | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Durante | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tejano Twist | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Gold Sweep | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Regret S.) – Regret S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Tam Tam | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Storm’s Wake | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Indigo Woods (IRE) | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dandona | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Faithful Departed | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Call On Me | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Surprise Ending | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Trust Account | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lilo Lil | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Blame S.) – Blame S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Vibe | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hit Show | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rattle N Roll | 4.00 | 1.9 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hall of Fame | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Capital Idea | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Who Dey | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Original Sin | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Liberal Arts | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Arlington S.) – Arlington S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Lagynos | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Quatrocento | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Brilliant Berti | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mercante | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Coal Battle | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | West Hollywood | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Beach Gold | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Minaret Station | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mesero | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Anglophile | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Giocoso | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.