Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Aerate | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Shadow Coast | 2.50 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Moroder | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gallo de Fuego | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | League of Legends | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Homie | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Quinn’s Promise | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Don’t Be Salty | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Belle Ofthe Dance | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fermi | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Galatina | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | State Charmer | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fresh Out | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Il Cavallino | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fast Joker | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Stefan’s Title | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Whiskey Shot | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Romantic Lead | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hardtoblame | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bagg O Time | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Lord Majesty | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bebedouro | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Top Gun Tommy | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Upturned Brim | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Forty Love | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sawyer Fox | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Raising Kane | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Illini | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Baytown Bruiser | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Guardian | 2.50 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Admiral Hall | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Truly Legit | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | You Ain’t Poppn | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Versed | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Carson | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Vino Dominus | 4.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Whatever | 5.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Tims | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Paired | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mountain Grandeur | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Chasing Gray | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Punkin Boy | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Turn and Run | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Big Nelson | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Spring St. Dreamer | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tlahuicole | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Beach Heist | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sapphire Beach (IRE) | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mony Mony | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Should’ve | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Secret Hideaway (IRE) | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Omaha Bay | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Snow Face Princess | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Snappy Comeback | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Campobasso | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Study | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | McCann | 6.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hawkeye State | 6.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Civic Charm | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Gadget Play | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Native Brew | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Delancey Street | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Impractical | 15.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Max Is Him | 15.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Interrogator | 15.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bigtimetimmyjim | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Rebel Instinct | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Memory | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gun Range | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Prize Pick | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Noble Affair | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Envision | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 12 | 12 | J J Grey | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | I Did I Did | 15.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Volendam | 15.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lighter | 15.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Biloba | 20.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Western Warrior | 20.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Blue Forty Two | 20.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Happy Prince | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Both Sides of Bad | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Fly Guy Mick | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Timestream | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 12 | 12 | McKinsense | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Barracks | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Culture War | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Champagne Liberal | 15.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Thespian | 15.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Power of Will | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Hill Country | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 8 | 8 | West of East Texas | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.