Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Midnight West | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bolt At Midnight | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | King of Hollywood | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hoodlum | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Slim Slow Slider | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Twirling Troillet | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Nip N Tuck | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Mascara | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Wild Acclaim | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Buzzworthy | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Carol’s Melody | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Army Girl | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Royalewithcheese | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Magic Seeker | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Passionfruit | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Playing Games | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Playful Quality | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bourbon Story | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Full Dolly | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cognizant | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | In for a Spin | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Shan | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mister Banderas | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Invulnerable | 3.50 | 1.9 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Eye Witness | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Derby Date | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Chiringo | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Furious Anger | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Union Rose | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Imminent Risk | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Plot | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Birch Run | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | She’s On a Roll | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 10 | 10 | English Harbour | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Awards Ceremony | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | River Rise | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Rumbar | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Argentinidad | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Givemethebeat | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sweettalkingwoman | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Got What I Got | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Runway Rebel | 30.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Beauxbatons | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | By La Rina | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mighty Nora | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Twirling Aces | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Annie Bee | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Little Bit Angel | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Elevate | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Paradiseperfection | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Tre Italiani | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tap Me a Song | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | On the Level | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Super Happy | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Sweet Freedom | 8.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Zat’s the One | 8.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Chillax | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rock Music | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tom Cat Tuesday | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Valiant Humor | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Lovely Emma | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sunna | 3.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Mae Town | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pondering | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Big Trouble | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Spring Dancer | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | She’s a Tempest | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Me Governor | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Flirting With Time | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Poppy Woppy | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gorrono Ranch | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Veola | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Raised | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Spotted | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Nola Louise | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Heavenly Mary | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Grant’s Gretchen | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Click | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Red Rainbow | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Gucci Gammy | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 1 | 1 | A Little Patience | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.