Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Imperial Ruler | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Harbe | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Editor | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Nash Potatoes | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Big Garry | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Fuzzy Stare | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | D Bigalow | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mouqeer | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Jack Charles (GB) | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Jem’s Hershey Kiss | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Apostles Creed | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Watashi | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Good Sal | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Lots of Kisses | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Bourbon Milk Punch | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Dream On Curlin | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hey Miss Olivia | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Mundy Sweep | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Liz Knows Best | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Zero Absolute | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Eve | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sweet Sissone | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ready for a Title | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Marcheline | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gerber Daisy | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Una Madiba | 30.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dream Chick | 30.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Betty’s Dance | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fun On the Bayou | 1.80 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Split Success | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Diablo Shiraz | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Listentourmother | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lady Upstart | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Quick Silla | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Sky Warrior | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Super Saiyajin | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Decimation | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bardstown Road | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Long Range Walt | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Bet On Silver | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | How’s Al Today | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Rock Havoc | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Take Charge Beach | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mr Gerson | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Raiding Party (IRE) | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Connect the Stars | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Honfleur | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dagmara | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hot Mash | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Star Actress | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Call the Bullpen | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Stepping Stones | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Code | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Callmeyourmajesty | 15.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Back Ring Buzz | 15.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Backgammon | 15.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Temple Goddess | 20.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Belle of the Barn | 20.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Up Country | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Disparate Impact | 4.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Spellmaker | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Discotheque | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Bon Temps | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Blue Mountains | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Final Thoughts | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Devilish Act | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Pelican Hill | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Symbol | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Blackjack Man | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Titan King | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Grind | 30.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Spoiler | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Westside Tide | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Plensa | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Beyond Stoked | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Esmark | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Joejoe Go | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tough Little Nut | 12.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Excite | 12.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Idratherbeblessed | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Johny’s Rendezvous | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.