Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Ratings Handicap) – Ratings Handicap
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | First Bid | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Parkway | 1.80 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | That’s Something | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rebelious | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bourbon Life | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Back Nine | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | High Class Lady | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Telling Tales | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | The Wife Found Out | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dancing Dolly | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bye Bye Time | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tacticmove | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | O’Hara At Dawn | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Galvanizer | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Kind Soul | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Shining Eye | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Vino Vida | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sailorman | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Added Time | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | No Free Kisses | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Contact Tracing | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Absaroka | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Battle Cruiser | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Boca Guy | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Freddy J | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mr. Thunderstruck | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Midnight Rules | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Papa Funny | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cloudy Holiday | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Addasquecktoit | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Classic Cash | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Winning Chance | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | K Dog | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Stella Bella | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lillabet | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mimosa for Lunch | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Platinum Sunrise | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Legacy Account | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Defending Albert | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rome’s Conquest | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Where’s the Loot | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sprint Out Pass | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Al’s Romeo | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Triple Up | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kosari | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Reuleaux | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Miss Happy | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Foxton | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Margarita Twosday | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Eventuality | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Apples Redline | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ready Time | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gun Ruler | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Regan’s Twist | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.