Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | All of It | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Boomington | 3.50 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Neshika | 4.50 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Bryant and Cooper | 8.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cosmic Candy Girl | 6.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tahila | 50.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Considerate City | 8.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Tongue Twister | 15.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Timia | 3.50 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bertrille | 30.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 |
| 8 | 8 | On a Summer Day | 15.00 | 12.3 | 23-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Spirit of Esther | 10.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Quick Power Nap | 20.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Soaring Spirit | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | New York Special | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Factory Setting | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Pelican Pride | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Ticket to Ride | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | No Tide | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | No Need to Panic | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Coach of the Year | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Amazing Gracer | 6.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Morning Prayer | 8.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Saint Margaret | 12.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
| 16 | 16 | Athena’s Fury | 12.00 | 13.1 | 25-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Zap That Ghost | 20.00 | 13.1 | 25-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Saratoga Daisy | 15.00 | 14.5 | 27-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Force of Mischief | 50.00 | 15 | 28-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Little Finch | 20.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Limes Don’t Lie | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Autumn Evening | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Scottish Lassie | 0.80 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Roman Grace | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Filly Freedom | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Midtown Lights | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Poker S.) – Poker S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Zulu Kingdom (IRE) | 0.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pass the Hat | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Salamis | 2.50 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Capitol Hill | 8.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Over and Ollie | 2.50 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ridari (FR) | 6.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Multitask | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Ignite the Light | 1.80 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tarantino | 30.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Ambition | 15.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Castle Chaos | 8.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Sara’s Shaman | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Rhyton | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Moonlight Drive | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Cristobal | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Truman’s Commander | 10.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Punto Forty | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | On the Ledge | 4.50 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Burning Bridges | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Van Vollenhoven | 15.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Three Thirteen | 8.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 1 | 1 | New York Scrappy | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Joker On Fire | 3.50 | 10.7 | 20-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Diliello | 12.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 |
| 16 | 16 | My Life Story | 10.00 | 12.2 | 23-1 |
| 5 | 5 | B Provocateur | 30.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Stormy Birthday | 10.00 | 15.9 | 30-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Epitaph | 20.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Beach Sandals | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Booked | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Uncleshane | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cut Down the Nets | 12.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Blackjack | 10.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Just a Holiday | 4.50 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Johnny Hockey | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pinpoint | 5.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jack’s Golden Goal | 30.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Georgie’s Warrior | 12.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Motawaali | 6.00 | 11.1 | 21-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Call Attendant | 10.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Gene and Jude | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bridle a Butterfly | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Geostoblame | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Final Denile | 6.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Three Percent | 12.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 12 | 12 | The Paddock Pastor | 6.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Vintage Vino | 4.50 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Complex Agenda | 4.50 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 16 | 16 | Chips and Fish | 30.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Rabaja | 12.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Salt Spartan | 8.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mo Kreesa | 10.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Willintoriskitall | 5.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Swiss Army Knife | 30.00 | 13.5 | 25-1 |
| 13 | 13 | McDiesel | 15.00 | 15.5 | 29-1 |
| 9 | 9 | American Grant | 20.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Soaring Softly S.) – Soaring Softly S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Slay the Day | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cadenza | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Should’ve | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hen Party | 3.50 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Niche | 2.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Kingsolver | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Alpenglow | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Flowerhead (IRE) | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Secured Landing | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Timaeus | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mr Skylight | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Shoot the Nickel | 4.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Olazabal | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Private Desire | 3.50 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gatsby | 4.50 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Graywing | 50.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Forgiving Spirit | 6.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Stewie | 20.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Quiet Wisdom | 12.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Princip | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Anyway | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Toscano | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bold Love | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hey Toby | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Long Pour | 4.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fireballin | 8.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Sunday Boy | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mo for the King | 5.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Leo’s Reward | 12.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 |
| 4 | 4 | You’re Lookin Good | 30.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Oath of Omerta | 20.00 | 12.5 | 24-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Solomini’s World | 30.00 | 12.6 | 24-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Mozambique | 15.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Irish Goodbye | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | King Farro | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Frankie Coffeecake | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hurricane Kaz | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ice House | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Imperial Anthem | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Roadie | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Bossofeverything | 10.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Aristide Maillol | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Thundertaker | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bold Scholar | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sultan Hassan | 15.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Runcot | 15.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.