Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Faytastic | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Aruma | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Take Time to Dream | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rolls Royce Joyce | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gia’s Fuego | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | So Swell | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Paddy’s Gift | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Notamistake | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | World Wide Web | 1.80 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Its All Gravy | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Quick to Judge | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Easter Blessing | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lucky Capo | 4.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Global Winner | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Popover Gal | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Golden Philly | 3.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fast Motion | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Five Star Fran | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Creme Caramel | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pacific Princess | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Trotsky | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cool Million | 2.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Play the Gray | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bonafide | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | J Cody | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Chain Lightning | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Inner Excellence | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mischief Storm | 12.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Anita Glassofwine | 4.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dreaming of Bella | 4.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Rosie Outlook | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Smokin Hot Wife | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Midwest Princess | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Pure Realization | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Winning Song | 4.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Spherification | 1.80 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Marchin Into April | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Coach Clint | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tiz the Coast | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tiztimonial | 8.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Like Tyson | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Whoosh | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | More Than Grace | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ringer Card | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Angel of Hope | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mad for Maddy | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dale | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Wanna Go Home | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | American Select | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Princess Kalamoh | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sea Zest | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Parlaypauline | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Magical Trick | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | I Am Rue | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cynthia Gail | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Persian | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Brave Blend | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cisco Kid | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Starlord | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fight Fiercely | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mr. Mendelssohn | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Asmodeus | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Onlygodcanjudgeme | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Skinny Joey | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Celestial Dark | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Au Some Warrior | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Back East | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.