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Churchill Downs Horse Racing Picks for Wednesday, June 10, 2026

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Relevate 1.40 1 2-1
4 4 Berlinwin 6.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Lexi’s Melody 8.00 4 8-1
2 2 Crystal Frost 15.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Kyler 3.50 4.3 8-1
7 7 Let ‘er Sizzle 3.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Preach Tewmey Now 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Bon Voyage 1.20 1 2-1
6 6 Camping Siete 20.00 2.7 5-1
5 5 Clonmacnoise 3.50 3.6 7-1
3 3 Cross Power 15.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Very Classy 6.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Icebreak 4.50 5.2 10-1
8 8 Stazitto 20.00 7 13-1
4 4 Lookin At Joel 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Dai Vernon 1.80 1 2-1
1 1 Warrior Richard 2.50 2.6 5-1
5 5 C F V Bullet 10.00 3 6-1
3 3 Notary 12.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Saltwater Cowboy 4.50 4.6 9-1
2 2 Tres Soles 5.00 6.9 13-1
4 4 Urban Planner 8.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Devilish Delight 8.00 1 2-1
2 2 Banana Frost 2.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Voyager 2.50 5 9-1
3 3 Violent Gal 4.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Bride 20.00 6 11-1
5 5 I’m With Her 15.00 6 11-1
7 7 Broadway Tootsie 4.50 SCRATCH
1 1 Lookin’ Pretty 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Angel From Marin 6.00 1 2-1
4 4 Lil Tipsy 1.80 1.2 2-1
2 2 Shot At Perfection 4.00 1.8 3-1
5 5 Solaia 2.50 2.2 4-1
6 6 Dollhouse 15.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Tumbleweed Queen 20.00 6 11-1
7 7 Brandie 10.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Naukarezza 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Out of Deductions 8.00 1 2-1
10 10 Debt Paid 20.00 1 2-1
4 4 Saint in the City 8.00 1.6 3-1
6 6 Sugoi 4.50 2.2 4-1
9 9 Demolition Duke 3.50 2.6 5-1
5 5 Fast Solution 12.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Risk Manager 6.00 4.5 8-1
8 8 Real Fast 15.00 6.8 13-1
12 12 Authentic Gallop 12.00 9.1 17-1
2 2 Ready to Pounce 15.00 9.6 18-1
11 11 Lucky Mischief 6.00 10.3 20-1
7 7 Bloodline 30.00 12 23-1
13 13 Presider 1.80 SCRATCH
14 14 Rigel 3.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Curly Larry and Mo 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Capital Connection 2.50 1 2-1
6 6 Colonel Caliente 10.00 1.5 3-1
1 1 Guardian 2.00 1.6 3-1
8 8 Cool Cowboy 8.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Tiger’s Legacy 15.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Skynet 6.00 3.9 7-1
7 7 Send Cash 4.50 4.2 8-1
5 5 Dr Fenn 30.00 6.8 13-1
9 9 Kid Twist 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Rothko 2.00 1 2-1
9 9 Bullard 3.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 John Hancock 10.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Baddest Good Boy 12.00 4.5 9-1
2 2 Inexorable 15.00 5.8 11-1
8 8 Touchy 15.00 6 11-1
10 10 Prince of Power 30.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Crushed It 4.50 SCRATCH
1 1 Caldera 8.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Master Controller 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Lady Jancis 1.80 1 2-1
13 13 Beau Cup 6.00 2.7 5-1
8 8 Mundy Sweep 3.50 3.1 6-1
14 14 Cearnach 10.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Heitzgirl 12.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Last Curtain Call 6.00 4.3 8-1
9 9 Fashion Quest 20.00 4.7 9-1
12 12 Fraud Alert 20.00 7.1 13-1
1 1 Strawberry Float 30.00 9.5 18-1
4 4 In Speight of Zoom 30.00 9.9 19-1
5 5 Eve 10.00 10 19-1
10 10 Zero Absolute 15.00 10.1 19-1
11 11 Beach Mandy 8.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Toast the Star 4.50 SCRATCH
16 16 Fregata 3.50 SCRATCH
3 3 The Long Embrace 20.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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