Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Gee No Hollander | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Get Her Number | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Air of Defiance | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Global Sensation | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Prayforpeace | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Highly Flammable | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Al Amjaad | 1.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Can’t Stop Willis | 4.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gentleman Jim | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mor Cheese Please | 5.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Surfin’ M | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Standard Deduction | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Disappear | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Argan | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Street Painter | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Protomagic | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | My Bossy Lady | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sunset Harbour | 4.50 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Black Ginger | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | First Hill | 5.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Lucky Lollipop | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Clever One | 8.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lady Lux | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | I Know Nothing | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Saint Dymphna | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | First Glance | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Althesia | 10.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | It’sthetwentythird | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Honky Tonk Girl | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | By Grace | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Double Talker | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Rose Ruler | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Gypsy Art | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Wearebackyoungman | 20.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Absolutely Hot | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Frontier Justice | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Red Lad | 30.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Military Cruiser | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Cinister Cix | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Abrigado | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Island Town | 6.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | City of Life | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ghost Protocol | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Grande Sorpreso | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Great Moment | 4.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Wolfcamp | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Night Watcher | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Barker | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Cat’s Cave | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | White Rocks | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Five a Side | 1.40 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Three Coats | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cervaro Della Sala (GB) | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Flash Wear | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lovin’ On the Run | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Not That Simple | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fregata | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Toast the Star | 10.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Cape Sounion (IRE) | 15.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ez Connect | 3.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Eat Hay Run | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Maiora | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Headspin | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hedge Book | 6.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Bullet Journal | 20.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Anesty | 15.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Electa | 12.00 | 12 | 23-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Beau Cup | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Blackwing | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Redhawk Riddler | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Lady Sybil | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.
