Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Doncic | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Code Duello | 2.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Charge for Gold | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Double Jab | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dakota Country | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Vancougar | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Desert Stormer S.) – Desert Stormer S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Nooni | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Magnificat | 1.40 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Revera | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Antifona (FR) | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Syntax | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Peppermint Dash | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Will Happen | 2.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Flamingo Star | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Queen Bay | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Forum Confidential | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jasmina | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 98 | Velvet Storm | 0.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pro Payne | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pickitupthatsgood | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 5 | Janie Not Jeanie | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 7 | Allons Y | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Make Me Money | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 6 | Chaseher | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Blockade | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Cortina d’Amprezzo (IRE) | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Astronomically (IRE) | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Fire Ban | 5.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Grey Matter | 5.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Golden Hope | 5.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ou La La | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jet Black Jewel (IRE) | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Medina Del Campo (IRE) | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Pecos River | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Battle School | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Shady Gem | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Cano for the Win | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Chapter One | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Kiki Ride | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Miguelito | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kyathos | 20.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Johnlino | 20.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Nash for Cash | 30.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Angel’s Echo | 30.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Baal | 30.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
| 6 | 6 | My Man Huey | 30.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Mansa Musa | 30.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Miss Mandalay (GB) | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lee’s Baby Girl | 4.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Not A Sinner (GB) | 4.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Nikolina | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Fancy Facts | 6.00 | 1.9 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hey Lil Lady | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pocket Venus | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Deep Blue | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | How Lovely (IRE) | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Celestial Skies | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Affirmed S.) – Affirmed S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Secured Freedom | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Decisive Win | 1.80 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | One More Freud | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mo Koko | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Constitution Andi | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Court of Appeal | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Frank Bullitt | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Warm Sun and Brew | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jimmy Winkfield | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Known Idea | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Chromeflash | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Keep Dancin Nick | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Sogno Di Vino | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Stolen Treasure | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Druidic | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Maker and Sons | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cardiff Crack | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.